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Who will be the Democratic VP candidate in 2012?

Background: In 2008 the Democratic VP nominee and winner was Joe Biden, the running mate of Barack Obama. In 2012, will Joe Biden still be Obama's running mate? Some have conjectured that Hillary Clinton may have taken the job of Secretary of State only after getting the off-the-record promise that she'd be Obama's running mate in 2012. There's also the (remote) possibility that someone else will be at the top of the ticket, with Obama as the VP.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. This will be settled whenever the Democratic VP nominee is officially announced, presumably in the weeks before the 2012 Democratic convention.

 
Forecast history %
Joe Biden
45%
Hillary Clinton
12%
Barack Obama
0%
Sarah Palin
0%
Someone else
42%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Thu 1st Nov 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Joe Biden: 70%, Hillary Clinton: 27%, Barack Obama: 1%, Sarah Palin: 1%, Someone else: 1%

Action history:

Created Sun 23rd Nov 2008 10pm PST by neuronexmachina

Suspend date: Thu 1st Nov 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (59)

7 weeks ago
brosenau predicted Joe Biden (H$100 at 42%)
7 weeks ago
brosenau predicted Hillary Clinton (H$100 at 11%)
7 weeks ago
chloeburns predicted Joe Biden (H$300 at 41%)
7 weeks ago
valornhonor predicted Someone else (H$100 at 37%)
7 weeks ago
valornhonor predicted Someone else (H$100 at 36%)

Comments (5)

  1 onedave[Power User]
I would really be surprised if it was Sarah Palin.
posted 49 weeks ago
Btw, would any of the people responding "someone else" care to mention who they might have in mind?
posted 49 weeks ago
  3 lcsnor
Maybe the "someone else" bidders are thinking that if Joe becomes Pres. for some reason before then he'll need a running mate.
posted 35 weeks ago
  4 hfl13
Bill Clinton as "someone else" ;-)
posted 29 weeks ago
@ # 3... I'll go with Lady Gaga's date @ the MTV Awards, Kermit the Frog for VP in 2012 on the Democratic Ticket, arguably the best personality with Green Credentials.
posted 7 weeks ago

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