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Who will be the Democratic VP candidate in 2012?

Background: In 2008 the Democratic VP nominee and winner was Joe Biden, the running mate of Barack Obama. In 2012, will Joe Biden still be Obama's running mate? Some have conjectured that Hillary Clinton may have taken the job of Secretary of State only after getting the off-the-record promise that she'd be Obama's running mate in 2012. There's also the (remote) possibility that someone else will be at the top of the ticket, with Obama as the VP.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. This will be settled whenever the Democratic VP nominee is officially announced, presumably in the weeks before the 2012 Democratic convention.

 
Forecast history %
Joe Biden
67%
Hillary Clinton
10%
Barack Obama
0%
Sarah Palin
0%
Someone else
23%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Thu 1st Nov 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Joe Biden: 70%, Hillary Clinton: 27%, Barack Obama: 1%, Sarah Palin: 1%, Someone else: 1%

Action history:

Created Sun 23rd Nov 2008 10pm PST by neuronexmachina

Suspend date: Thu 1st Nov 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (65)

10 weeks ago
clevercog predicted Someone else (H$20 at 23%)
15 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Someone else (H$100 at 14%)
15 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Hillary Clinton (H$333 at 7%)
15 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted Joe Biden (H$5,500 at 65%)
26 weeks ago
brosenau predicted Joe Biden (H$100 at 42%)

Comments (6)

  1 onedave[Power User]
I would really be surprised if it was Sarah Palin.
posted 1 year ago
Btw, would any of the people responding "someone else" care to mention who they might have in mind?
posted 1 year ago
  3 lcsnor
Maybe the "someone else" bidders are thinking that if Joe becomes Pres. for some reason before then he'll need a running mate.
posted 1 year ago
  4 hfl13
Bill Clinton as "someone else" ;-)
posted 48 weeks ago
@ # 3... I'll go with Lady Gaga's date @ the MTV Awards, Kermit the Frog for VP in 2012 on the Democratic Ticket, arguably the best personality with Green Credentials.
posted 26 weeks ago
Joe Biden update: He meets on transparency today. But the meeting is closed
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2010/01/joe-biden-update.html
Everybody should just relax and take it easy.

Unsubstantiated rumors that Vice President Joe Biden had suddenly gone a little loopy and ordered some of his official meetings opened to at least cursory public or media attention were just that -- unsubstantiated rumors.

After a recent public sighting, fears had mounted that the one-time, long-term senator might rebel against traditional White House strictures and start acting on all the administration's oft-promised promises of government transparency and official openness running back into 2008.

But the VP's public schedule today puts all those fears to rest.

In fact, loyal Ticket readers will recall that one day last summer with no advance warning whatsoever Biden's official White House schedule changed from listing frequent "private meetings" to listing frequent meetings that are "closed press." Was this dramatic and....

...little-noticed vocabulary change a sign of internal administration turmoil? What did it really mean?

No, of course not. And, nothing.

Announcing everyone the VP meets with, including sessions with unidentified senior staff, which consume much of the vice president's listed time, and what subjects they talk about would have been a stark contrast to George W. Bush's administration, whose notoriously secretive ways drew such criticism from Democrats in Congress during eight long years of really failed policies.

Instead, in the apparent interests of bipartisanship, the Delaware Democrat has adopted much the same sort of undetailed schedule as his Republican predecessor, Dick Cheney, who was not in the Senate when Obama was only 11 years old.
...
[More entertainment at the link...!]
posted 9 weeks ago

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