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Who will be relegated from the Guinness Premiership in the season 2008/2009?

Current forecast: Bristol (38% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Bristol with a probability of 38% (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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London Wasps
13%
London Irish
3%
Saracens
5%
Bristol
38%
Harlequins
3%
Northampton Saints
5%
Worcester Warriors
7%
Newcastle Falcons
19%
Sale Sharks
3%
Other
4%
Activity: H$2,185
Question suspends in 15 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 25th Apr 8:59am PDT (15 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: London Wasps: 20%, London Irish: 5%, Saracens: 8%, Bristol: 25%, Harlequins: 5%, Northampton Saints: 7%, Worcester Warriors: 10%, Newcastle Falcons: 10%, Sale Sharks: 5%, Other: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 24th Nov 2008 1:43am PST by rippydog

Suspend date: Sat 25th Apr 8:59am PDT (15 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (24)

24 predictions

1 day ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted Newcastle Falcons (H$300 at 16%)
2 days ago
cammaz predicted Bristol (H$100 at 40%)
2 days ago
magpie predicted Newcastle Falcons (H$50 at 12%)
2 days ago
racketdad predicted Bristol (H$100 at 39%)
3 days ago
warren predicted Newcastle Falcons (H$50 at 11%)
more

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