Created Mon 24th Nov 2008 7:46am PST by 
chathura
All questions » World » Other » chathura When will the War between Sri Lankan Government and Tigers (LTTE) end?
Current forecast: After 31 Dec 2009 (67% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is After 31 Dec 2009 with a probability of 67% (unchanged in last 1 day)
The War between Sri Lankan Government and Tigers (LTTE) has been going on since 1979. But now we can see that it had come to and end. Sri Lankan Government has only a little area named Kilinochchi to recover from Tigers (LTTE).
Category Editor Clarification: The question will settle as Yes only if there is either a formal peace treaty or surrender (not a ceasefire) that acknowledges from both sides that the war is over. Statements of victory by Colombo or opinions in the press that the war is over are not sufficient to settle as Yes.
Category Editor Clarification: The question will settle as Yes only if there is either a formal peace treaty or surrender (not a ceasefire) that acknowledges from both sides that the war is over. Statements of victory by Colombo or opinions in the press that the war is over are not sufficient to settle as Yes.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Before 1 Jan 2009 |
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Between 1 Jan 2009 and 30 Jun 2009 |
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Between 1 Jul 2009 and 31 Dec 2009 |
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After 31 Dec 2009 |
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Activity: H$9,908
Question suspends in 51 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 7pm PST (51 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Before 1 Jan 2009: 15%, Between 1 Jan 2009 and 30 Jun 2009: 50%, Between 1 Jul 2009 and 31 Dec 2009: 25%, After 31 Dec 2009: 10%
Action history:
Created Mon 24th Nov 2008 7:46am PST by chathura
chathura
Changed Description last Monday 1:10pm PST by 
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... to recover from Tigers (LTTE).).<br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification:</b> The question will settle as Yes only if there is either a formal peace treaty or surrender (<b>not</b> a ceasefire) that acknowledges from both sides that the war is over. Statements of victory by Colombo or opinions in the press that the war is over are not sufficient to settle as Yes.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 7pm PST (51 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (14)
14 predictions
myles
zuharsha
predicted Between 1 Jan 2009 and 30 Jun 2009 (H$100 at 20%)
oppugner
predicted After 31 Dec 2009 (H$500 at 64%)
aland
predicted Between 1 Jan 2009 and 30 Jun 2009 (H$400 at 37%)
predicted After 31 Dec 2009 (H$20 at 64%)
nuza
predicted Between 1 Jul 2009 and 31 Dec 2009 (H$100 at 10%)
pitchedoutsideleg
predicted After 31 Dec 2009 (H$5,000 at 36%)
jenniandboysComments (0)
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score: 10
National Post 1 day ago
home, I do not know where I will be. Firstly, when I read your article about ?Keep the Tamil Tigers out of Canada?, I was very disappointed in your analysis as to every potential refugees who is Tamil and want to come to Canada, should be looked with
score: 10
Time 2 days ago
of Sri Lanka are undoubtedly one of the most organized, effective and brutal terrorist groups in the world. They invented the suicide vest and, according to the FBI, are the only terrorist
score: 10
IAfrica.com 4 days ago
Sri Lanka said on Friday its troops had finally captured the unofficial capital of the Tamil Tigers and urged the rebels to lay down their arms and end their decades-old struggle
score: 10
Guardian Unlimited 4 days ago
symbolic victory for the government could also prove a decisive turning point in the country's 25-year civil war. 'This was an unparalleled victory,' the president, Mahinda Rajapakse, said in a televised speech from his office. 'Kilinochchi was the
score: 10
IAfrica.com 4 days ago
Sri Lanka said on Friday its troops had finally captured the unofficial capital of the Tamil Tigers and urged the rebels to lay down their arms and end their decades-old struggle
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