What will be the result of Gallup's Presidential Favorability polls on Monday?
Obama 66
Bush 29
Difference: 37
Background:
One would think that this holiday week would be fairly quiet, but Obama has started the week out with some major economic news which is sure to effect the polling. Bush should get plenty of good press this week as he does his presidential duties during the holidays.. Of course another major economic meltdown, might tank both approval numbers.
Settlement based on: Obama Confidence (Confident percentage) - Bush Job Approval (Approve)
Note: Results are based on 3 day rolling averages, so polls released on Monday afternoon are based on calls made Friday, Saturday and Sunday nights.
Settlement details:
Results are released ~1300 EST Monday afternoon.
Settlement based on: Obama Confidence(Confident percentage) - Bush Job Approval (Approve)
Settled
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Obama +50 or more |
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Obama +45 to +49 |
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Obama +40 to +44 |
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Obama +35 to +39 |
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Obama +30 to +34 |
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Obama +29 or less |
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Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 4am PST Settlement date: Tue 2nd Dec 2008 5:11pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Nov 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Obama +50 or more: 15%, Obama +45 to +49: 20%, Obama +40 to +44: 30%, Obama +35 to +39: 20%, Obama +30 to +34: 10%, Obama +29 or less: 5%
Action history:
uppito
: Past due 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Obama 66
Bush 29
Difference: 37
Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 4am PST Settlement date: Tue 2nd Dec 2008 5:11pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 30th Nov 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (53)
53 predictions
bigken1
predicted Obama +35 to +39 (H$100 at 68%)
newsiebri
predicted Obama +30 to +34 (H$100 at 2%)
pita_soup
lachapin
predicted Obama +40 to +44 (H$20 at 21%)
horsefeathers
predicted Obama +35 to +39 (H$1,000 at 69%)
rbrog77
robamichael
predicted Obama +35 to +39 (H$70 at 56%)
predicted Obama +35 to +39 (H$100 at 44%)Comments (3)
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jenniandboys
280 settled, 18 voided
FYI all you naysayers!
Now this is interesting.....
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