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Created Mon 24th Nov 2008 12:17pm PST by storekeeperathscm
All questions » World » Americas » 

How many seats will the Liberals win in the Dec. general election in Quebec?

Settled as more than 63 but less than 70

Liberals win 66 seats.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/quebecvotes2008/

Background:

There are 125 seats in the National Assembly. Before the election the Liberals held 48 seats forming a minority government.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 more than 80
5%
more than 70 but less than 80
62%
more than 63 but less than 70
26%
less than 63
8%
Activity: H$9,074
Settled as more than 63 but less than 70 on Wed 10th Dec 2008 1:20pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 5th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 10th Dec 2008 1:20pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: more than 80: 15%, more than 70 but less than 80: 25%, more than 63 but less than 70: 30%, less than 63: 30%

Action history:

Created Mon 24th Nov 2008 12:17pm PST by storekeeperathscm
Suspended Fri 5th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 9th Dec 2008 3:29am PST by storekeeperathscm: the Liberals won 66 seats out of a possible 125
thanks
Settled as 'more than 63 but less than 70' Wed 10th Dec 2008 1:20pm PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: Liberals win 66 seats.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/quebecvotes2008/

Suspend date: Fri 5th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 10th Dec 2008 1:20pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (22)

22 predictions

4 weeks ago
zollernberg predicted more than 80 (H$50 at 4%)
4 weeks ago
shojun predicted more than 70 but less than 80 (H$100 at 34%)
4 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted more than 63 but less than 70 (H$20 at 27%)
4 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted less than 63 (H$10,000 at 62%)
5 weeks ago
aland predicted more than 70 but less than 80 (H$200 at 32%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 zollernberg
wrong picture, these are not the federal liberals
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
haha - sorry my fault, i'm australian, what do i know about canadian politics??! :-)

feel free to post a link to the correct liberal party logo and i'll edit the picture
posted 6 weeks ago
  3 zollernberg
no problem! here it is : http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/6/62/Parti_lib%C3%A9ral_du_Qu%C3%A9bec_2003_logo.png
posted 6 weeks ago
  4 pitchedoutsideleg
This website is worth a look http://www.trendlines.ca/electquebec.htm
posted 4 weeks ago

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