How will Japanese man leave the airport?
Settled as Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane
Has left airport by taxi
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=aSQus1HVVMXI&refer=japan
Background:>
On September 2, 2008, 40-year old former Japanese custodian Hiroshi Nohara landed at Mexico City's Benito Juarez International Airport. Unlike other passengers, he never left Terminal 1. He has claimed a food court table as his home since that day. He only leaves the table to go to the bathroom and to get food. Restaurants and tourists give him food and coffee. Nohara feels safe in the airport.
He has an open ticket to return to Tokyo via San Francisco valid for five months. He was originally destined to travel to Brazil. However, he lost his passport. He only speaks three words of Spanish, "No. Muchas gracias," which means "No. Thank you." Employees at the Japanese Embassy have offered him money, a hotel room and an airline ticket. However, he has refused them all.
Local media have turned Nohara into a celebrity. They give daily news updates on him. He has a valid 180-day visa that will expire in early March. Until then, authorities cannot arrest or deport him.
Additional information:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/7744357.stm
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27844203/
http://www.adn.es/mundo/20081119/NWS-0489-insolito-japones-turista-aeropuerto-mexico.html (Spanish)
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
How will Japanese man leave the airport?
Willingly gets on airplane
Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009
Other result
Zoom out
Forecast history, %
Settled
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Willingly gets on airplane |
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Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane |
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Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 |
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Other result |
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Activity: H$13,614
Settled as
Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane on Tue 30th Dec 2008 5:53am PST
Suspend date: Sun 1st Mar 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 5:53am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 29th Dec 2008 12:35pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Willingly gets on airplane: 70%, Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane: 15%, Remains in airport after March 1, 2009: 10%, Other result: 5%
Action history:
Suspended Mon 29th Dec 2008 10:57pm PST by
notablenotices![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

:
Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 29th Dec 2008 10:57pm PST by
notablenotices![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

:
A Japanese man living in a Mexican airport for no apparent reason has packed up his belongings and left, leaving behind a baffled public and no explanation for his strange choice of accommodation.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/4806247a4560.html (market suspended)
Suspend date: Sun 1st Mar 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 5:53am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 29th Dec 2008 12:35pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (32)
32 predictions
1 week ago
camicalm
predicted
Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane (H$100 at 12%)
2 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$50 at 7%)
2 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Other result (H$1,000 at 34%)
3 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 7%)
more1 week ago
camicalm
predicted
Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane (H$100 at 12%)
2 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$50 at 7%)
2 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Other result (H$1,000 at 34%)
3 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 7%)
4 weeks ago
gotmick
predicted
Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane (H$100 at 13%)
5 weeks ago
camicalm
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$100 at 6%)
5 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Other result (H$1,000 at 20%)
5 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Willingly gets on airplane (H$1,000 at 64%)
5 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Willingly gets on airplane (H$2,000 at 51%)
5 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Other result (H$2,000 at 27%)
5 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Other result (H$300 at 14%)
5 weeks ago
bigken1
predicted
Willingly gets on airplane (H$200 at 63%)
5 weeks ago
mork![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

predicted
Other result (H$100 at 11%)
5 weeks ago
guibraguim
predicted
Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane (H$100 at 17%)
6 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 9%)
6 weeks ago
deanthoreau
predicted
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 9%)
6 weeks ago
bout3fitty
predicted
Willingly gets on airplane (H$100 at 63%)
Showing recent public predictions only
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Comments (6)
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