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How will Japanese man leave the airport?

Settled as Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane

Has left airport by taxi
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=aSQus1HVVMXI&refer=japan

Background:

On September 2, 2008, 40-year old former Japanese custodian Hiroshi Nohara landed at Mexico City's Benito Juarez International Airport. Unlike other passengers, he never left Terminal 1. He has claimed a food court table as his home since that day. He only leaves the table to go to the bathroom and to get food. Restaurants and tourists give him food and coffee. Nohara feels safe in the airport.

He has an open ticket to return to Tokyo via San Francisco valid for five months. He was originally destined to travel to Brazil. However, he lost his passport. He only speaks three words of Spanish, "No. Muchas gracias," which means "No. Thank you." Employees at the Japanese Embassy have offered him money, a hotel room and an airline ticket. However, he has refused them all.

Local media have turned Nohara into a celebrity. They give daily news updates on him. He has a valid 180-day visa that will expire in early March. Until then, authorities cannot arrest or deport him.

Additional information:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/7744357.stm
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27844203/
http://www.adn.es/mundo/20081119/NWS-0489-insolito-japones-turista-aeropuerto-mexico.html (Spanish)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Willingly gets on airplane
43%
Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane
11%
Remains in airport after March 1, 2009
5%
Other result
41%
Activity: H$13,614
Settled as Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane on Tue 30th Dec 2008 5:53am PST

Suspend date: Sun 1st Mar 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 5:53am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 29th Dec 2008 12:35pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Willingly gets on airplane: 70%, Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane: 15%, Remains in airport after March 1, 2009: 10%, Other result: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 24th Nov 2008 4:14pm PST by onedave[Power User]
Suspended Mon 29th Dec 2008 10:57pm PST by notablenotices[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 29th Dec 2008 10:57pm PST by notablenotices[Power User]: A Japanese man living in a Mexican airport for no apparent reason has packed up his belongings and left, leaving behind a baffled public and no explanation for his strange choice of accommodation.

http://www.stuff.co.nz/4806247a4560.html (market suspended)
Settled as 'Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane' Tue 30th Dec 2008 5:53am PST by ryanj[Admin]: Has left airport by taxi
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=aSQus1HVVMXI&refer=japan

Suspend date: Sun 1st Mar 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) Settlement date: Tue 30th Dec 2008 5:53am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 29th Dec 2008 12:35pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (32)

32 predictions

1 week ago
camicalm predicted Willingly leaves the airport, but not by plane (H$100 at 12%)
2 weeks ago
deanthoreau predicted Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$50 at 7%)
2 weeks ago
deanthoreau predicted Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Other result (H$1,000 at 34%)
3 weeks ago
deanthoreau predicted Remains in airport after March 1, 2009 (H$20 at 7%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 randburg
...on chopstix...
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 randburg
...extricated from his whiskers...(aka plucked)...
posted 6 weeks ago
  3 ryanj[Admin]
Hiroshi Nohara YOU WILL NEVER BE TOM HANKS!
posted 6 weeks ago
No kidding! When i heard about this i thought to myself "Really? There doing a Terminal 2?"
posted 6 weeks ago
  5 tisha[Admin]
That film was terrible enough to watch - why would anyone want to live it??
posted 6 weeks ago

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