
Will the Harvard proposal of allowing developing countries to maintain carbon emissions be adopted?

This is one of four proposals by the American university's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs to negotiators who meet for U.N. climate talks next week in Poland.
The current climate pact, the Kyoto Protocol, expires in 2012 and governments are scrambling to agree a new treaty by the end of next year.
"The new agreement should be scientifically sound, economically rational and politically pragmatic," Professor Robert Stavins of the Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements said.
The Harvard report calls on rich nations to lead in cutting emissions, while developing countries can "maintain their business-as-usual emissions in the first decades, but over the longer term agree to binding targets that ultimately reduce emissions below business as usual."
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Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. The relevant issue that needs to be adopted is proposal 1 Proposal No. 1:
"One proposed framework argues that a new international climate agreement should establish a global cap-and-trade system, where the emissions caps are determined using a set of formulas. These formulas take into account a variety of economic factors, including GDP and economic growth rates, such that a country's annual cap may change over time, rather than being set as an absolute quantity of emissions for the duration of the agreement. The result, it is hoped, is that every country will feel it is only doing its fair share."
If no news by suspend date, question will settle as no.
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Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 11:59pm PST (46 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 11:59pm PST (46 weeks to go)
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Predictions (7)
7 predictions
Comments (6)
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am i the only one disturbed by this?
I mean how many hummers are the people in developing nations driving anyway?
10 years,9 years,8 years,7 years,6 years, well some time in the future, unless we can tax the rich people & then it might be ok.http://www.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUSL2272661220070323
but that doesn't matter as long as there still are people who just close their eyes.
and as long as the rich are actually responsible for the world to end, and as long as the rich are actually the only ones which can effort to make a change, then I think to tax the rich people (although nobody ever proposed that) is not the worst idea.
the cheapest way for the industry to produce is without taking care of the environment at all.
here a few impressions: http://images.google.ch/images?q=environmental%20pollution
regardless of such global and hard to imagine effects like climate change - do you want to have such a neighborhood? or would you rather prefer these
http://images.google.ch/images?q=usa+landscape
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