carnacthemagnificent
When will the next DJIA three-day win streak happen?
Settled as December since we have now had three days in a row of gains of the DJIA:
12/30/08 +184.46
12/31/08 +108.00
01/02/09 +258.30
According to the specification of the question, if a streak begins in a month and is completed in the following month it will be settled on the basis of the month in which it started, and in this case that was December.
Over these three days, the DJIA went from 8483.93 to 9034.69, about a 550 point gain.
This question will be settled as of 4 PM EST on January 2, the time that the NYSE closed and results could be known. Any wagers made after that time will be voided and refunded.
Background:
Starting with December 2008, when will the DJIA post three consecutive days of daily gains?
For settlement purposes, the first day of the win streak will be considered. For example, a three day streak that begins on the last day of December and extends to the first two days of January will be considered settled as "December."
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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December 2008 |
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January 2009 |
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February 2009 |
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March 2009 |
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April 2009 |
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May 2009 |
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June 2009 |
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Other |
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Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 2pm PDT (24 weeks to go) Settlement date: last Saturday 5:06am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Friday 1pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: December 2008: 20%, January 2009: 25%, February 2009: 22%, March 2009: 15%, April 2009: 10%, May 2009: 5%, June 2009: 2%, Other: 1%
Action history:
carnacthemagnificent 
felix
: Three day streak occurred 30, 31 December and 2 January. http://finance.google.com/finance?client=ob&q=INDEXDJX:DJI 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Settled as December since we have now had three days in a row of gains of the DJIA:
12/30/08 +184.46
12/31/08 +108.00
01/02/09 +258.30
According to the specification of the question, if a streak begins in a month and is completed in the following month it will be settled on the basis of the month in which it started, and in this case that was December.
Over these three days, the DJIA went from 8483.93 to 9034.69, about a 550 point gain.
This question will be settled as of 4 PM EST on January 2, the time that the NYSE closed and results could be known. Any wagers made after that time will be voided and refunded.
Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 2pm PDT (24 weeks to go) Settlement date: last Saturday 5:06am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after last Friday 1pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (63)
63 predictions
davidpepe
predicted January 2009 (H$100 at 41%)
bobdevine
predicted December 2008 (H$100 at 42%)
twalker1030
predicted December 2008 (H$1,000 at 49%)
lcsnor
predicted January 2009 (H$100 at 52%)Comments (8)
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carnacthemagnificent
62 settled, 16 voided
Look here: http://www.hubdub.com/m23885/When_will_the_next_DJIA_oneweek_win_streak_happen
December is over and there was no 3 day streak yet.
Dec 31 and January 2 both ended in the plus side.
That's why December was at 52% at one point later on Friday before actually finishing at 21%, which was the correct amount as of the market close yesterday.
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