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First lady Laura Bush is planning a book, How much money will she get for the deal ?

Current forecast: 7 million - plus millions (25% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 7 million - plus millions with a probability of 25% (unchanged in last 1 day)

First lady Laura Bush confirmed to The Associated Press that she is planning a memoir and has met with publishers.

"I've been talking to some publishers, but nothing has happened yet — just a few visits," she said in a telephone interview Tuesday to discuss her upcoming special about the White House on cable's History channel.
The executives said that Bush is being represented by Washington attorney Robert Barnett, whose many clients include former President Clinton, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Sen. Edward Kennedy.
A memoir from Laura Bush could be the political version of "Garbo Speaks." The public has long been fascinated by the first lady, if only because she has said so little about herself, and her life is already a best seller in fictional form, in Curtis Sittenfeld's novel "American Wife."
Publishers are betting that the market for a memoir by Laura Bush is much greater than for her children's book, "Read All About It!" — published last spring by HarperCollins with an announced first printing of 500,000.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5i5JoGXLfe21diWrwLfDm5zAFm64wD94M3QQ00

In the case of Sarah Palin:
Possible $7million book deal in works for Palin.
Sarah Palin, who for some really is a celebrity - who literally doesn’t know enough - to put together a concise argument on any number of critical issues - important to those seeking the highest office. Without substance Sarah Palin becomes famous for being famous - a celeb politician - who ‘ain’t in it for naught’.
Literary agents are queueing up to sign her to a book deal that could earn her up to $7m.

http://outfoxingkarlrove.wordpress.com/2008/11/18/famous-for-being-famous-possible-7million-book-deal-in-works-for-palin/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Between 100,000 and 1 million dollars
16%
1 million - 3 million dollars
20%
3 million - 5 million dollars
17%
5 million - 7 million dollars
22%
7 million - plus millions
25%
Activity: H$1,472
Question suspends in 2 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 25th Jan 11:59pm PST (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Between 100,000 and 1 million dollars: 20%, 1 million - 3 million dollars: 20%, 3 million - 5 million dollars: 20%, 5 million - 7 million dollars: 20%, 7 million - plus millions: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 25th Nov 2008 3:53pm PST by balcacer

Suspend date: Sun 25th Jan 11:59pm PST (2 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (18)

18 predictions

5 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted 5 million - 7 million dollars (H$20 at 21%)
5 weeks ago
jon1 predicted 3 million - 5 million dollars (H$20 at 19%)
6 weeks ago
bcumings predicted 1 million - 3 million dollars (H$100 at 20%)
6 weeks ago
cici predicted 1 million - 3 million dollars (H$100 at 19%)
6 weeks ago
cici predicted 3 million - 5 million dollars (H$100 at 18%)
more

Comments (6)

Laura is a well educated woman. I am sure her book will have complete sentences without the assistance of 50 editors unlike the Alaskan governor. Ms. Bush deserves as much money as possible after all her husband will be unemployed in a few months (again).
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 balcacer
I agree deanthoreau, she's 100000000000000000000000000 better than "w"
posted 6 weeks ago
An interesting question would be "Who gets the bigger book deal George W. or Laura?" or "Whose book debuts in a higher spot on the NYT bestsellers list?"
posted 6 weeks ago
@carnac - The problem is that Bush will definitely wait at least a couple years to write a book -- if he writes one at all. His dad still hasn't that I know of... Def if we get word that there's one in the works, that would be really interesting to compare!
posted 6 weeks ago
  5 cuyaya
Can "w" write ? He can try to dance, that and his deal with liquor is his best.
posted 6 weeks ago
They asked the panelists on NPR's "Wait, Wait, Don't Tell Me" game show to predict the first line of W's memoir. The only one I remember was "It were a dark and stormy night."
posted 6 weeks ago

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