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Gold - Oil - Dow. Three horse race. Finish line Friday 5 December

Settled as Dow up, gold & oil down

Dow was up while the other two were down from last week.

Dow was up
8458.76 up to 8635.42
Oil was down
51.16 down to 40.81
And Gold was down as well
815.10 down to 752.20

Background:

Gold, oil and the DJIA. Probably the three most watched prices.

Your mission, should you decide to accept it, is to pick the group performance. Will all three be up, all three down. Will the DJIA tank while gold shines bright but oil burns out. In the unlikely event of one finishing at exactly the same price, to the cent or 2 decimal we call it up.

Starting prices DJIA 8458.76
Oil 51.16
Gold 815.10

Oil is light sweet crude (CL on NYMEX)
Suspend date 2 days before, midnight EST.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If the question is worth rerunning the site where all three prices are most easily viewed in one place. Suggestions appreciated. For this one gold and oil <a href="http://www.nymex.com">www.nymex.com<;/a> and DJIA cnn money.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

All three up
4%
Dow up, gold & oil down
32%
Gold up, dow & oil down
4%
Oil up, dow & gold down
2%
Dow down, gold & oil up
6%
Gold down, dow & oil up
3%
Oil down, dow & gold up
3%
All three down
46%
Activity: H$19,542
Settled as Dow up, gold & oil down on Sat 6th Dec 2008 8:56am PST

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 6th Dec 2008 8:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: All three up: 14%, Dow up, gold & oil down: 12%, Gold up, dow & oil down: 12%, Oil up, dow & gold down: 12%, Dow down, gold & oil up: 12%, Gold down, dow & oil up: 12%, Oil down, dow & gold up: 12%, All three down: 14%

Action history:

Created Tue 25th Nov 2008 9:39pm PST by petefin
Suspended Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 6th Dec 2008 7:55am PST by elly: Dow up,gold & oil down
Starting prices
DJIA 8458.76
Oil 51.16
Gold 815.10
Results:
DJIA 8,635.42 i.e. UP
Oil 40.81 i.e. down
Gold 752.20 i.e. down

http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
http://money.aol.com/
Settled as 'Dow up, gold & oil down' Sat 6th Dec 2008 8:56am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Dow was up while the other two were down from last week.

Dow was up
8458.76 up to 8635.42
Oil was down
51.16 down to 40.81
And Gold was down as well
815.10 down to 752.20

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 6th Dec 2008 8:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (165)

165 predictions

5 weeks ago
jonica predicted Dow up, gold & oil down (H$80 at 36%)
5 weeks ago
jonica predicted All three down (H$100 at 43%)
5 weeks ago
gtown predicted Dow up, gold & oil down (H$175 at 35%)
5 weeks ago
gtown predicted All three down (H$200 at 43%)
5 weeks ago
bency predicted Dow up, gold & oil down (H$20 at 35%)
more

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