Gold - Oil - Dow. Three horse race. Finish line Friday 5 December
Dow was up while the other two were down from last week.
Dow was up
8458.76 up to 8635.42
Oil was down
51.16 down to 40.81
And Gold was down as well
815.10 down to 752.20
Background:>
Your mission, should you decide to accept it, is to pick the group performance. Will all three be up, all three down. Will the DJIA tank while gold shines bright but oil burns out. In the unlikely event of one finishing at exactly the same price, to the cent or 2 decimal we call it up.
Starting prices DJIA 8458.76
Oil 51.16
Gold 815.10
Oil is light sweet crude (CL on NYMEX)
Suspend date 2 days before, midnight EST.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. If the question is worth rerunning the site where all three prices are most easily viewed in one place. Suggestions appreciated. For this one gold and oil <a href="http://www.nymex.com">www.nymex.com</a> and DJIA cnn money.
Settled
|
|
All three up |
|
||
|
|
Dow up, gold & oil down |
|
||
|
|
Gold up, dow & oil down |
|
||
|
|
Oil up, dow & gold down |
|
||
|
|
Dow down, gold & oil up |
|
||
|
|
Gold down, dow & oil up |
|
||
|
|
Oil down, dow & gold up |
|
||
|
|
All three down |
|
Suspend date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 6th Dec 2008 8:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: All three up: 14%, Dow up, gold & oil down: 12%, Gold up, dow & oil down: 12%, Oil up, dow & gold down: 12%, Dow down, gold & oil up: 12%, Gold down, dow & oil up: 12%, Oil down, dow & gold up: 12%, All three down: 14%
Action history:
Starting prices
DJIA 8458.76
Oil 51.16
Gold 815.10
Results:
DJIA 8,635.42 i.e. UP
Oil 40.81 i.e. down
Gold 752.20 i.e. down
http://www.kitco.com/charts/livegold.html
http://money.aol.com/
Dow was up
8458.76 up to 8635.42
Oil was down
51.16 down to 40.81
And Gold was down as well
815.10 down to 752.20
Suspend date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Sat 6th Dec 2008 8:56am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (165)
165 predictions
Comments (0)
What is Hubdub?
Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.
Join now or learn more



No comments yet
Please log in or join to add a comment