
How many 'balloons" will not finish the Macy's Day Parade in NY?
Haven't found any indication of balloons dying along the way... Congrads to another successful year Snoopy :)
Background:>
The question is How many of the giant balloons scheduled to be in this years parade will not make it to the revewing stand?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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1 giant balloon |
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2 to 3 giant balloons |
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4 or more giant balloons |
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They all make it to the Reviewing Stand |
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All balloons are grounded due to weather/etc |
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Suspend date: Thu 27th Nov 2008 1am PST Settlement date: Mon 1st Dec 2008 5:42am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 27th Nov 2008 1am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 1 giant balloon: 20%, 2 to 3 giant balloons: 25%, 4 or more giant balloons: 15%, They all make it to the Reviewing Stand: 25%, All balloons are grounded due to weather/etc: 15%
Action history:
http://popwatch.ew.com/popwatch/2008/11/macys-thanksgiv.html
Suspend date: Thu 27th Nov 2008 1am PST Settlement date: Mon 1st Dec 2008 5:42am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 27th Nov 2008 1am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (33)
33 predictions
Comments (1)
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