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Will Islamic terrorists from India be identified as responsible for the attacks in Mumbai

Voided

The question leaves itself too open to subjective interpretation to be settled fairly. In particular, "be indentified" needs to be spelled out. A previously unknown group from India emailed local media to claim responsibility, but the Indian government is claiming a Pakistani origin, and the police have mentioned British and Pakistani identification documents as belonging to some of the perpetrators. The question lacks the required instructions for how to handle this in terms of settling it.

Background:

Will the terrorists be identified as Islamists from India?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Voided

Yes
95%
No
5%
Voided Sat 29th Nov 2008 2:57am PST

Suspend date: Sat 29th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 95%

Action history:

Created Wed 26th Nov 2008 3:59pm PST by timbolondon
Suspended Wed 26th Nov 2008 11:21pm PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: While this is obviously a question of particular interest at the moment, there are a few problems as is. For instance, what standard is being used for considering their identification? Who is doing the identifying? What if some are from India and some from elsewhere? What precisely constitutes an Islamist, as opposed to someone who is simply Islamic by birth? Do all of the members have to be "Islamists" for the group to be considered Islamist?
Settlement requested Thu 27th Nov 2008 2:19am PST by curios: http://uk.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUKTRE4AP74420081127
Voided Sat 29th Nov 2008 2:57am PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: The question leaves itself too open to subjective interpretation to be settled fairly. In particular, "be indentified" needs to be spelled out. A previously unknown group from India emailed local media to claim responsibility, but the Indian government is claiming a Pakistani origin, and the police have mentioned British and Pakistani identification documents as belonging to some of the perpetrators. The question lacks the required instructions for how to handle this in terms of settling it.

Suspend date: Sat 29th Nov 2008 11:59pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (10)

10 predictions

6 weeks ago
spacemonkey1229 predicted Yes (H$100 at 92%)
6 weeks ago
curios predicted Yes (H$2,000 at 92%)
6 weeks ago
dejman predicted No (H$50 at 9%)
6 weeks ago
notme predicted No (H$100 at 8%)
6 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$50 at 92%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 curios
@infernalmachine surely your comments are beyond your authorization it is all over the news that a Islamic organisation.have claimed responsibility
and what do you do nitpick on newbie only on today you may play the big i am with the questionnaire but not this little nobody
posted 5 weeks ago

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