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Will President Obama meet President Chavez in 2009?

Current forecast: 51% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 51% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Hugo Chávez Frías is the democratically elected president of Venezuela (and by democratically elected I mean that he has repeatedly stood before the voters in internationally sanctioned elections and won large majorities, in a system that, despite flaws and irregularities, has allowed his opponents to defeat him and win office, both in a countrywide referendum last year and in regional elections in November.
Sean Penn:
I had digested my earlier visits to Venezuela and Cuba and time spent with Chávez and Fidel Castro. I had grown increasingly intolerant of the propaganda. Though Chávez himself has a penchant for rhetoric, never has it been a cause for war. In hopes of demythologizing this "dictator," I decided to pay him another visit.
On our third day in Venezuela, we thanked President Chávez for his time, the four of us standing among security personnel and press at the Santiago Marino Airport on Isla Margarita. Brinkley had a final question, and so did I. "Mr. President," he said, "if Barack Obama is elected president of the United States, would you accept an invitation to fly to Washington and meet with him?" Chávez immediately answered, "Yes."


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.www.thenation.com

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
51%
No
49%
Activity: H$6,028
Question suspends in 51 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 26th Nov 2008 4:13pm PST by balcacer

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (51 weeks to go)
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Predictions (23)

23 predictions

1 day ago
mikadikia predicted Yes (H$50 at 51%)
1 day ago
cjg999 predicted Yes (H$100 at 51%)
2 weeks ago
brian72975 predicted No (H$20 at 45%)
3 weeks ago
conspiracy2riot predicted Yes (H$50 at 55%)
4 weeks ago
freeze predicted No (H$20 at 45%)
more

Comments (4)

If Barack Obama is the man of intelligent negotiation he infers he is, he shall meet with Chavez, with the chagrin of the major US Corporations who have enjoyed looting Venezuela for years.
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 lilia
Obama and Chavez will make great friends
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 balcacer
Ja ja ja ja
posted 5 weeks ago
I hope that Obama and Chavez DO become good friends. Works for me.
posted 3 weeks ago

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