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Where will President Obama and President Raul Castro meet ?

Current forecast: Washington, USA (41% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Washington, USA with a probability of 41% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Cuban President Raul Castro said in an interview released Wednesday that he would like to meet President-elect Barack Obama on "neutral ground" _ and he suggested the American naval base at Guantanamo Bay.

The Cuban leader's offer came in a rare interview in Havana with actor-director Sean Penn, who wrote about it for the Dec. 15 edition of The Nation magazine. The article was released on the magazine's Web site Wednesday.
Penn asked if Castro would meet with Obama in Washington. The Cuban president said he "would have to think about it," but that it would not be fair for either leader to go to the other's territory. Instead he suggested the base at Guantanamo.

"We must meet and begin to solve our problems, and at the end of the meeting, we could give the president a gift ... we could send him home with the American flag that waves over Guantanamo Bay," Castro said.
Raul Castro is largely seen as more pragmatic and conciliatory than his fiery older brother Fidel, and has offered to meet with U.S. officials several times since replacing his ailing sibling in mid-2006.

Obama has said he is willing to meet with Raul Castro without preconditions, and that after taking office on Jan. 20 he would "immediately" lift all restrictions on family travel and remittances to Cuba. Under tough rules imposed under President George W. Bush, Cuban Americans can now visit their relatives on the island only once every three years.

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/s/reuters/081126/us/politics_us_cuba_usa_obama

http://washingtontimes.com/news/2008/nov/26/raul-castro-to-sean-penn-hed-meet-obama-at-gitm-1/


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Gitmo, Cuba
10%
Washington, USA
41%
Yucatan, Mexico
3%
Puerto Plata , Dominican Rep
10%
Quebec, Canada
3%
Bern, Swiss
2%
Caracas, Venezuela
2%
New York, United Nations HQ
4%
Another City / Europe or America
9%
They don't meet
17%
Activity: H$16,822
Question suspends in 50 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 3:59pm PST (50 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Gitmo, Cuba: 10%, Washington, USA: 10%, Yucatan, Mexico: 10%, Puerto Plata , Dominican Rep: 10%, Quebec, Canada: 10%, Bern, Swiss: 10%, Caracas, Venezuela: 10%, New York, United Nations HQ: 10%, Another City / Europe or America: 10%, They don't meet : 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 26th Nov 2008 5:04pm PST by balcacer

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 3:59pm PST (50 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (62)

62 predictions

3 days ago
horsefeathers predicted Quebec, Canada (H$10 at 2%)
3 days ago
frogchop predicted They don't meet (H$20 at 14%)
3 days ago
busterbarretto predicted They don't meet (H$100 at 12%)
3 days ago
growthy predicted They don't meet (H$100 at 11%)
4 days ago
mork[Power User] predicted Another City / Europe or America (H$50 at 38%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
I would have preferred to have seen just countries listed, rather than cities and countries...I could more easily see them meeting in Mexico City rather than Yucatan (which is a region) or any of the cities mentioned.
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 emmag
Mexico City is a natural. Easier to fly into and out of. Castro is very familiar with Mexico, having hatched his revolution there. However, Guantanamo Bay would be incredibly symbolic on many fronts.
posted 5 weeks ago

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