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When will all the hostages in Mumbai be released?

Settled as 28 November - 30 November

Siege ended Sat Nov 29
http://www.hindu.com/2008/11/30/stories/2008113060830100.htm

Background:

India's financial capital, Mumbai, was rocked by a series of gun attacks and blasts last night that targeted luxury hotels and restaurants – and especially British and American visitors. At least 80 people were reported to have been killed and up to 250 injured.

Late last night, armed police were said to be storming rooms held by gunmen on the upper floors of the Taj Mahal and Oberoi, two of the best-known hotels in India. Officials said the terrorists had struck at least seven locations, including hotels, hospitals, a railway station and the Cafe Leopold, the city's most famous restaurant and meeting place for Western tourists.

At one location, the gunmen had apparently been searching for British and American travellers to take hostage. Reports suggested that several hostages were still being held.

"An encounter is going on at the two hotels, the situation is grave," said Vilasrao Deshmukh, the Maharashtra state chief minister. "Our men are on the job." The Home Minister, Shivraj Patil, said there were four or five armed attackers under siege in each of the two hotels.

"They have attacked hotels, they have attacked the hospitals, they have attacked the railway station," he said. In one shootout, three senior policemen, including Hemant Karkare, the head of Mumbai's anti-terrorist squad, were reported to have been killed.

Television images showed the lobbies of the Taj Mahal and Oberoi hotels in south Mumbai on fire, apparently after grenade blasts. People were being evacuated from the Oberoi with their hands on their heads. At the Taj Mahal some of the injured were evacuated on golden luggage carts.

...

India has suffered a series of terror attacks in recent months but last night's massacre – with a combination of grenades and automatic weapons – marks a new and deadly milestone in its continuing battle against extremists. Most of the attacks have been blamed on extremist Muslim groups but, in recent weeks, police have rounded up 10 members of what they say is its first Hindu terror cell.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/massacre-in-mumbai-1036875.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. 'Released' means an end to the hostage situation, regardless of whether there are casualties or not. Settlement will occur when all hostage situations in Mumbai, stemming from this coordinate attack, are resolved. 'Other' option includes outcome that hostages were not in fact being held at the time of creation of this question.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Before 28 November
6%
28 November - 30 November
86%
1 December - 5 December
4%
6 December - 12 December
2%
13 December - 27 December
1%
Not by 28 December/Other
1%
Activity: H$10,789
Settled as 28 November - 30 November on Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:29pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 27th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:29pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Before 28 November: 40%, 28 November - 30 November: 30%, 1 December - 5 December: 10%, 6 December - 12 December: 10%, 13 December - 27 December: 5%, Not by 28 December/Other: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 26th Nov 2008 7:02pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Changed Description Wed 26th Nov 2008 7:43pm PST by tisha[Admin]: show details
... targeted luxury hotels and restaurants – and especially British and American ... and up to 250 injured. <.<br/> <br/> Late last night, ... meeting place for Western tourists. <.<br/> <br/> At one location, ... hostages were still being held. <.<br/> <br/> "An encounter is ... each of the two hotels. <.<br/> <br/> "They have attacked ... reported to have been killed. <.<br/> <br/> Television images showed ... evacuated on golden luggage carts. <br/> <br/> ... <br/> <br/> The Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, described the attacks as "outrageous" and promised to help the Indian government mount a "vigorous response". "Urgent action is under way to offer every possible protection to British citizens in the region," he added. <br/> <br/> The White House and US President-elect Barack Obama joined France, the president of the European Union, in condemning the attacks. In a statement, Mr Obama said: "These co-ordinated attacks on innocent civilians demonstrate the grave and urgent threat of terrorism. The United States must continue to strengthen our partnerships with India and nations around the world to root out and destroy terrorist networks." <br/> <br/> The British MEP Sajjad Karim, who is in India with a group of other Euro MPs, was in the Taj Mahal hotel when it was attacked. Speaking by mobile phone from a barricaded basement, he told reporters that he and others had fled from machine-gun fire. One member of the European delegation was reported to have been wounded. <.<br/> <br/> ... <br/> <br/> India ... but last night's massacre – with a combination of grenades and automatic weapons – marks a new and deadly ... cell. <br/> <br/> <a href='="http://www.independent.co.uk/ ... /massacre-in-mumbai-1036875.html'>">http://www.independent.co.uk/
Suspended Sat 29th Nov 2008 4:07am PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: pending possible settlement
Settlement requested Sun 30th Nov 2008 2:47am PST by curios: please settle
http://www.hindu.com/2008/11/30/stories/2008113060830100.htm
Settled as '28 November - 30 November' Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:29pm PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: Siege ended Sat Nov 29
http://www.hindu.com/2008/11/30/stories/2008113060830100.htm

Suspend date: Sat 27th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Sun 30th Nov 2008 1:29pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (60)

60 predictions

5 weeks ago
curios predicted 28 November - 30 November (H$1,000 at 85%)
5 weeks ago
dutch8376 predicted 28 November - 30 November (H$200 at 83%)
5 weeks ago
prashantgoenka predicted Before 28 November (H$20 at 10%)
5 weeks ago
rogi predicted 1 December - 5 December (H$10 at 6%)
5 weeks ago
rogi predicted 1 December - 5 December (H$20 at 5%)
more

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