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Will the Nov 26 Mumbai terrorist attacks be connected to al Qaeda by the end of 2008?

Settled as No

There are no official reports of al Qaeda being directly involved in the attacks.

Background:

Background: Will al Qaeda, or a confirmed al Qaeda splinter/associated group, claim responibility or be officially blamed for the Mumbai terrorist attacks? This must occur by midnight on Dec 31st 2008.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
25%
No
75%
Settled as No on Thu 1st Jan 11:37am PST

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 9am PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 11:37am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Dec 2008 9am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Nov 2008 3:50am PST by tarpash
Settlement requested Fri 5th Dec 2008 12:22am PST by randburg: YES:

The surviving gunman, Ajmal Amir Kasab, 21, told interrogators he had been sent by the banned Pakistani militant group Lashkar-e-Taiba and identified two of the plot's masterminds, according to two Indian government officials familiar with the inquiry. Lashkar, outlawed by Pakistan in 2002, has been deemed by the U.S. a terrorist group with ties to al-Qaida.

http://my.att.net/s/editorial.dll?pnum=1&bfromind=7406&eeid=6234852&_sitecat=1505&dcatid=0&eetype=article&render=y&ac=1&ck=&ch=ne&rg=blsadstrgt&_lid=332&_lnm=tg+ne+topnews&ck=
Suspended Wed 24th Dec 2008 9am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 4:10am PST by orlin: No reports of such connection.
Settlement requested Thu 1st Jan 9:03am PST by jake: Settle as no. No news of any connection.
Settled as 'No' Thu 1st Jan 11:37am PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: There are no official reports of al Qaeda being directly involved in the attacks.

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 2008 9am PST
Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 11:37am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 24th Dec 2008 9am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (43)

47 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted No (H$50 at 75%)
47 weeks ago
excontender predicted Yes (H$20 at 25%)
47 weeks ago
tomg[Admin] predicted No (H$500 at 74%)
47 weeks ago
stroud69 predicted No (H$100 at 74%)
47 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted No (H$5 at 74%)

Comments (2)

More irresponsible reporting from CNN...

‘We thought we were safe... then CNN stepped in!’

From her home in Penarth yesterday, Mrs Shaw said: “We have been asked by the British terror police not to talk to the press.

“But the reason I would not want to talk to anyone is because our safety was actually compromised by CNN, which broadcast where we were.

“The terrorists were watching CNN and they came down from where they were in a lift after hearing about us on television. For that reason I would appeal to the media to be very careful about what they broadcast.

“When we left Mumbai there were still around 100 people trapped there.”

She added: “People talk to one another on mobile phones and that gets broadcast and the terrorists knew from that.”


http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/cardiff-news/2008/11/29/we-thought-we-were-safe-then-cnn-stepped-in-91466-22368124/
posted 50 weeks ago
  2 randburg
YES:

The surviving gunman, Ajmal Amir Kasab, 21, told interrogators he had been sent by the banned Pakistani militant group Lashkar-e-Taiba and identified two of the plot's masterminds, according to two Indian government officials familiar with the inquiry. Lashkar, outlawed by Pakistan in 2002, has been deemed by the U.S. a terrorist group with ties to al-Qaida.

http://my.att.net/s/editorial.dll?pnum=1&bfromind=7406&eeid=6234852&_sitecat=1505&dcatid=0&eetype=article&render=y&ac=1&ck=&ch=ne&rg=blsadstrgt&_lid=332&_lnm=tg+ne+topnews&ck=
posted 50 weeks ago

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