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Created Thu 27th Nov 2008 5:12am PST by jimmymcdazzle
All questions » World » Asia » 

What will be the outcome of the hostage situation in india?

Settled as India police dont cause civilian casualties

There have been no major reports of Indian police having caused any of the casualties in the Mubai attacks.

Background:


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 India police cause civilian casualties
79%
India police dont cause civilian casualties
21%
Activity: H$4,704
Settled as India police dont cause civilian casualties on last Saturday 9:17pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 29th Nov 2008 4am PST Settlement date: last Saturday 9:17pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 29th Nov 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: India police cause civilian casualties: 60%, India police dont cause civilian casualties: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Nov 2008 5:12am PST by jimmymcdazzle
Suspended Sat 29th Nov 2008 4am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested last Saturday 5:46am PST by garnicholson: the hostage situation is long over, no police mistakes have been reported
Settled as 'India police dont cause civilian casualties' last Saturday 9:17pm PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: There have been no major reports of Indian police having caused any of the casualties in the Mubai attacks.

Suspend date: Sat 29th Nov 2008 4am PST Settlement date: last Saturday 9:17pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 29th Nov 2008 4am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

5 weeks ago
racketdad predicted India police cause civilian casualties (H$378 at 78%)
5 weeks ago
bernardo predicted India police dont cause civilian casualties (H$20 at 23%)
5 weeks ago
devil_may_care predicted India police cause civilian casualties (H$35 at 77%)
5 weeks ago
dutch8376 predicted India police dont cause civilian casualties (H$6 at 23%)
5 weeks ago
pekingduck42 predicted India police cause civilian casualties (H$132 at 72%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 randburg
The hostage situation might not be over in the next 36 hours...
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 jimmymcdazzle
But the building will have been stormed by then surely
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 infernalmachine[Admin]
The siege is apparently over now. The question was timed accurately. But there may be a delay between when it suspends and when there is sufficient information to settle it.
posted 5 weeks ago
  4 curios
Are we talking friendly fire here
posted 5 weeks ago
  5 infernalmachine[Admin]
Yes. It might take a few days to find out if there any such reports. I doubt the Indian government would want to be publicizing any such thing if it had happened. The Indian people are angry enough at them for having not prevented it.
posted 5 weeks ago
  6 spyder
I don't see how this is going to get resolved. Nor do I see how long we wait for a report to come out. Any suggestions?
posted 3 weeks ago

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