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Will Rafael Nadal Win a Grand Slam in 2009?

Current forecast: 64% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 64% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Rafael Nadal was a DOUBLE grand slam winner in 2008, winning his fourth and fifth grand slam, in the Roland Garros and Wimbledon tournaments. He is 22 years old and ranked number 1 in the world . Do you think he will be a grand slam champion in 2009?


Settlement details: As reported by ESPN and Star Sports

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
64%
No
36%
Activity: H$2,585
Question suspends in 19 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 25th May 12:59am PDT (19 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Nov 2008 11:33pm PST by sandjo_123
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date last Friday 6:29am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: was: "2008-12-31 23:59:00"
Unsuspended last Friday 6:30am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Question was reopened to allow further wagering. Will reopen up to the start of the French open at this time.

Suspend date: Mon 25th May 12:59am PDT (19 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (12)

12 predictions

5 days ago
lcsnor predicted Yes (H$350 at 64%)
1 week ago
bgrigore predicted No (H$1,000 at 35%)
2 weeks ago
natsthename predicted Yes (H$20 at 67%)
4 weeks ago
sandjo_123 predicted Yes (H$75 at 67%)
5 weeks ago
mummys_little_soldier predicted Yes (H$100 at 67%)
more

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