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Will there still be a print edition of The Age newspaper by December 31 2010?

Current forecast: 66% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 66% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Melbourne's Age newspaper is in crisis. Once it enjoyed a splendid source of revenue from classifieds, now that is largely disappearing. Circulation numbers are propped up by a plethora of giveaway schemes which disguise a genuine collapse in people buying the newspaper to read. Advertising rates are in freefall. A worldwide economic slowdown threatens to make a dreadful situation worse. Their one bright spot, their website attracts a decent audience, but that has been incapable of reproducing the rivers of gold revenue that once flowed into the newspaper. Can The Age's print edition survive in these very difficult circumstances?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source, such as Melbourne's most popular newspaper, the Herald Sun.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
66%
No
34%
Activity: H$11,180
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 5:59am PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Fri 28th Nov 2008 12:06am PST by vexnews

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 5:59am PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

5 weeks ago
vexnews predicted No (H$20 at 34%)
5 weeks ago
eytan77 predicted Yes (H$100 at 69%)
5 weeks ago
lm84 predicted No (H$20 at 31%)
5 weeks ago
vexnews predicted No (H$20 at 31%)
5 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 60%)
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