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Who will be the number 1 ranked male player at the end of the 2009 tennis season?

Current forecast: Rafael Nadal (38% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Rafael Nadal with a probability of 38% (unchanged in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Rafael Nadal
38%
Roger Federer
20%
Andy Murray
19%
Novak Djokovic
11%
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
3%
Juan Martin Del Potro
2%
Nikolay Davydenko
2%
David Nalbandian
2%
Others
4%
Activity: H$2,924
Question suspends in 45 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 21st Nov 11:59pm PST (45 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Rafael Nadal : 29%, Roger Federer : 25%, Andy Murray : 18%, Novak Djokovic : 14%, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga : 4%, Juan Martin Del Potro : 3%, Nikolay Davydenko : 2%, David Nalbandian : 2%, Others: 3%

Action history:

Created Fri 28th Nov 2008 6:05pm PST by pitchedoutsideleg

Suspend date: Sat 21st Nov 11:59pm PST (45 weeks to go)
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Predictions (13)

13 predictions

3 days ago
daddeoh predicted Andy Murray (H$196 at 19%)
3 days ago
lcsnor predicted Andy Murray (H$100 at 17%)
3 days ago
lcsnor predicted Rafael Nadal (H$250 at 37%)
3 days ago
inthenetguy predicted Rafael Nadal (H$100 at 31%)
4 days ago
coolkraft predicted Andy Murray (H$100 at 25%)
more

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