Created Sat 29th Nov 2008 12:11am PST by 
georgethe23rd
All questions » Politics » UK Politics » georgethe23rd 
Who will be the new commissioner of the London metropolitan police?
Current forecast: Sir Hugh Orde (42% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Sir Hugh Orde with a probability of 42% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Sir Ian Blair has stood down from the post of Britain's most senior police officer. Who will replace him?
Applicants must register their interest by Monday 1 December. Those known to be filling in the form are:
Sir Paul Stephenson, 55
Blair's deputy is said to be the favoured choice of London mayor Boris Johnson
Bernard Hogan-Howe, 50
The chief constable of Merseyside, a no-nonsense police officer whose philosophy of "total policing" and "total war on crime" has brought positive results on crime reduction
Sir Paul Scott-Lee, 55
Chief constable of West Midlands, he has recently announced he is leaving his force and is thought to be a late entrant to the race
Sir Hugh Orde, 50
Chief constable of the Police Service of Northern Ireland. Joint favourite along with Stephenson
Julie Spence, 53
Chief constable of Cambridgeshire; has made it known she will be applying
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2008/nov/28/ian-blair-boris-johnson-police
Applicants must register their interest by Monday 1 December. Those known to be filling in the form are:
Sir Paul Stephenson, 55
Blair's deputy is said to be the favoured choice of London mayor Boris Johnson
Bernard Hogan-Howe, 50
The chief constable of Merseyside, a no-nonsense police officer whose philosophy of "total policing" and "total war on crime" has brought positive results on crime reduction
Sir Paul Scott-Lee, 55
Chief constable of West Midlands, he has recently announced he is leaving his force and is thought to be a late entrant to the race
Sir Hugh Orde, 50
Chief constable of the Police Service of Northern Ireland. Joint favourite along with Stephenson
Julie Spence, 53
Chief constable of Cambridgeshire; has made it known she will be applying
http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2008/nov/28/ian-blair-boris-johnson-police
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Sir Paul Stephenson |
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Bernard Hogan-Howe |
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Sir Paul Scott-Lee |
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Sir Hugh Orde |
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Julie Spence |
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Other |
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Activity: H$2,755
Question suspends in 3 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Sir Paul Stephenson: 30%, Bernard Hogan-Howe: 10%, Sir Paul Scott-Lee: 10%, Sir Hugh Orde: 30%, Julie Spence: 10%, Other: 10%
Action history:
Created Sat 29th Nov 2008 12:11am PST by georgethe23rd
georgethe23rd
Suspended Wed 31st Dec 2008 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Unsuspended last Friday 7:34am PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: A decision is expected in the next month, so suspend date has been moved forward
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article5386111.ece
tisha: A decision is expected in the next month, so suspend date has been moved forward
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article5386111.ece
Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 3:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (30)
30 predictions
lcsnor
joslloyd
predicted Sir Hugh Orde (H$64 at 44%)
predicted Sir Hugh Orde (H$20 at 43%)
predicted Sir Hugh Orde (H$20 at 41%)
predicted Sir Hugh Orde (H$100 at 33%)
joecook
predicted Sir Hugh Orde (H$100 at 36%)
ianochaye
predicted Sir Paul Stephenson (H$50 at 30%)Comments (0)
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