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When will the next DJIA one-week win streak happen?

Current forecast: January 2009 (32% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is January 2009 with a probability of 32% (unchanged in last 1 day)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average posted daily increases during all of the days the NYSE was open in the last week of November 2008 (Thanksgiving, Nov 27, was a holiday).

When will the DJIA next post a week's worth of daily gains?

For settlement purposes, the first day of the week will be considered. For example, the week of December 29 - January 2, 2008, is considered a "December" week for this market. Also, if the market is closed for a holiday or any other reason, and of the other days in that week show a positive gain in the DJIA, this question is settled on that week. The market must be open for at least one day during the week and all days in the week must show a positive gain.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

December 2008
7%
January 2009
32%
February 2009
19%
March 2009
10%
April 2009
7%
May 2009
5%
June 2009
7%
July 2009
5%
August 2009
4%
Other
4%
Activity: H$10,064
Question suspends in 33 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 31st Aug 5pm PDT (33 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: December 2008: 10%, January 2009: 15%, February 2009: 17%, March 2009: 19%, April 2009: 13%, May 2009: 10%, June 2009: 7%, July 2009: 5%, August 2009: 3%, Other: 1%

Action history:

Created Sat 29th Nov 2008 7:34am PST by carnacthemagnificent

Suspend date: Mon 31st Aug 5pm PDT (33 weeks to go)
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Predictions (52)

52 predictions

1 day ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted February 2009 (H$500 at 14%)
1 day ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted January 2009 (H$750 at 30%)
2 days ago
lcsnor predicted January 2009 (H$150 at 24%)
3 days ago
lcsnor predicted December 2008 (H$50 at 12%)
5 days ago
rogerkni predicted January 2009 (H$50 at 25%)
more

Comments (1)

The last time there was a five-day week of daily gains was July 2007.
posted 5 weeks ago

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