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Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 Issue December 13, 2008?

Settled as 2- Beyonce - Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It) (28,

Beyonce takes the #1, propelled in large part (I think) by her excellent performance on SNL with the um... talented.... male backup singers!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5qx-MVrXfk

Background:

Information in the options:
Current position - Artist - Title (previous position, peak position, weeks on)

kruijs is busy with a new baby (check out his profile for the cute future hubdubber) so I'm taking this one over. Please let me know of any mistakes, which are all mine!


Settlement details: As reported here: http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Singles&f=The+Billboard+Hot+100
Or here (which might occur sooner): http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/index.jsp

THE CHART WEEK

Generally, charts reflect sales and airplay between Monday and Sunday of any given week. However, the mixed data charts (The Billboard Hot 100, Pop 100 and Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs) use an airplay cycle of Wednesday through Tuesday.

Charts are available Thursday on Billboard.com and Billboard.biz and reflect the date of the Billboard issue in which they appear.

The printed magazine first reaches newsstands on Friday. Each issue is dated based on the end of its publication week. Thus the Billboard that reaches newsstands on Friday, Sept. 9, for example, is dated Sept. 17.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

1- T.I. Ft. Rihanna - Live Your Life (1,1,9)
77%
2- Beyonce - Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It) (28,
10%
3- Beyonce - If I Were A Boy (3,3,7)
2%
7- Lady GaGa Ft. Colby O'D - Just Dance (16,7,16)
1%
33- Jim Jones & Ron Browz -Pop Champage (50,33,6)
1%
34- Rhianna - Rehab (61,34,3)
1%
44- Nickelback - I'd Come For You (-1,44,1)
1%
Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned
3%
Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned
1%
Any new entry
2%
Activity: H$14,302
Settled as 2- Beyonce - Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It) (28, on Thu 4th Dec 2008 4:58am PST

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 4th Dec 2008 4:58am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1- T.I. Ft. Rihanna - Live Your Life (1,1,9) : 61%, 2- Beyonce - Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It) (28,: 22%, 3- Beyonce - If I Were A Boy (3,3,7) : 3%, 7- Lady GaGa Ft. Colby O'D - Just Dance (16,7,16): 2%, 33- Jim Jones & Ron Browz -Pop Champage (50,33,6): 1%, 34- Rhianna - Rehab (61,34,3) : 2%, 44- Nickelback - I'd Come For You (-1,44,1) : 1%, Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned: 4%, Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned: 3%, Any new entry : 1%

Action history:

Created Sat 29th Nov 2008 4:21pm PST by gtown
Changed Description Sat 29th Nov 2008 7:52pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: show details
... options: <:<br/> Current position - Artist - Title ( ... position, peak position, weeks on) <)<br/> <br/> kruijs is busy ... mistakes, which are all mine!!<br/> <br/> <object type="application/x-shockwave-flash" data="http://widgets.clearspring.com/o/4750b5f2f45d8310/49320df8497d69b1/4750b5f2314b6e1b/93c510f8/chart/The+Billboard+Hot+100/bordercolor/2f4f4f/bgcolor/d2b48c/numcolor/2f4f4f/artistcolor/2f4f4f/titlecolor/000000/charttitlecolor/f5f5dc/-storeInPid/true" id="W4750b5f2f45d831049320df8497d69b1" width="250" height="260"><param name="movie" value="http://widgets.clearspring.com/o/4750b5f2f45d8310/49320df8497d69b1/4750b5f2314b6e1b/93c510f8/chart/The+Billboard+Hot+100/bordercolor/2f4f4f/bgcolor/d2b48c/numcolor/2f4f4f/artistcolor/2f4f4f/titlecolor/000000/charttitlecolor/f5f5dc/-storeInPid/true" /><param name="wmode" value="transparent" /><param name="allowNetworking" value="all" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><embed id="W4750b5f2f45d831049320df8497d69b1" name="Billboard.com Music Charts" src="http://widgets.clearspring.com/o/4750b5f2f45d8310/49320df8497d69b1/4750b5f2314b6e1b/93c510f8/chart/The+Billboard+Hot+100/bordercolor/2f4f4f/bgcolor/d2b48c/numcolor/2f4f4f/artistcolor/2f4f4f/titlecolor/000000/charttitlecolor/f5f5dc/-storeInPid/true" width="250" height="260" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer" wmode="transparent" allowNetworking="all" allowScriptAccess="always" /></object>
Suspended Wed 3rd Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as '2- Beyonce - Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It) (28,' Thu 4th Dec 2008 4:58am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Beyonce takes the #1, propelled in large part (I think) by her excellent performance on SNL with the um... talented.... male backup singers!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M5qx-MVrXfk

Suspend date: Wed 3rd Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 4th Dec 2008 4:58am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 3rd Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (146)

146 predictions

4 weeks ago
steveb predicted 1- T.I. Ft. Rihanna - Live Your Life (1,1,9) (H$100 at 77%)
4 weeks ago
drock predicted 1- T.I. Ft. Rihanna - Live Your Life (1,1,9) (H$20 at 78%)
4 weeks ago
moltenmich predicted 1- T.I. Ft. Rihanna - Live Your Life (1,1,9) (H$50 at 78%)
4 weeks ago
robamichael predicted 1- T.I. Ft. Rihanna - Live Your Life (1,1,9) (H$100 at 77%)
5 weeks ago
djeter2 predicted 1- T.I. Ft. Rihanna - Live Your Life (1,1,9) (H$20 at 77%)
more

Comments (6)

  1 gtown
Sorry, the #2 had some data chopped off:

2- Beyonce - Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It) (28,2,6)
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
thanks, g

:)=
posted 5 weeks ago
congrats krujis!!!!!

i guess Bing Crosy's White Christmas is not in hot 100 selection huh?
posted 5 weeks ago
  4 gtown
He hit #35 in 2005 on the Hit Digital Singles chart and #26 in 1998 on Adult Contemporary, but I doubt he'll be giving Beyonce a run for her money this year.

http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/retrieve_chart_history.do?model.chartFormatGroupName=Singles&model.vnuArtistId=3574&model.vnuAlbumId=736079
posted 5 weeks ago
Hmm.. what happened here? I thought maybe the spiking on TI was the result of the list leaking early, now I'm wishing I had been more confident in my Beyonce pick and poured a little more h$ on there! I'll be ready next week gtown!
posted 4 weeks ago
  6 gtown
Maybe a lot of people got tired of betting against T.I. and losing the last few/many/all weeks, it is kinda weird not to have him on top anymore...
posted 4 weeks ago

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