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How many Majors will Sergio Garcia win in 2009?

Current forecast: Zero (54% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Zero with a probability of 54% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Current World No. 2, Sergio Garcia, is seeking his first victory in a Major championship.
Will it come in 2009? If so, how many will he win?

2009 Majors:
The Masters in April
US Open Championship in June
The Open Championship in July
PGA Championship in August


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Zero
54%
One
22%
Two
12%
Three
8%
Four
4%
Activity: H$3,241
Question suspends in 30 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 12th Aug 9:59pm PDT (30 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Zero : 45%, One: 25%, Two: 15%, Three: 10%, Four: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 29th Nov 2008 9:46pm PST by sdchargers[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 12th Aug 9:59pm PDT (30 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (9)

9 predictions

1 week ago
crafts1026 predicted One (H$10 at 19%)
1 week ago
drzinternet predicted One (H$50 at 18%)
3 weeks ago
davesov predicted Zero (H$20 at 63%)
5 weeks ago
davesov predicted Zero (H$100 at 55%)
5 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted Zero (H$1,000 at 50%)

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