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Will Church of LDS face the music for their campaign for California's Prop 8 before March?
Current forecast: 41% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 41% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
California's Fair Political Practices Commission (FPPC) confirmed Monday that it will investigate allegations that the LDS Church failed to report nonmonetary contributions to the Yes on Proposition 8 campaign.
if the FPPC determines fault, the commission could fine "up to $5,000 per violation," and in some cases might also file a civil lawsuit, which could lead to remedies amounting to "three times the amount of unreported or misreported contributions."
http://www.sltrib.com/News/ci_11064769
Clarification: The market question has been edited from against to for
if the FPPC determines fault, the commission could fine "up to $5,000 per violation," and in some cases might also file a civil lawsuit, which could lead to remedies amounting to "three times the amount of unreported or misreported contributions."
http://www.sltrib.com/News/ci_11064769
Clarification: The market question has been edited from against to for
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. This question will settle as 'yes' if a fine is imposed or a court case filed before March 1, 2009.
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Activity: H$7,786
Question suspends in 7 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Changed Question text Sun 7th Dec 2008 10:21am PST by
ryanj![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
: show details
... the music for their campaign againstfor California's Prop 8 before
Changed Description Sun 7th Dec 2008 10:21am PST by
ryanj![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
: show details
... .sltrib.com/News/ci_11064769</a> <br/> <b>Clarification: The market question has been edited from against to for</b>
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
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Predictions (65)
65 predictions
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score: 10
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US News 1 week ago
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score: 10
FindLaw 2 weeks ago
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score: 10
Huffington Post 2 weeks ago
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