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Will Church of LDS face the music for their campaign for California's Prop 8 before March?
Current forecast: 41% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 41% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
California's Fair Political Practices Commission (FPPC) confirmed Monday that it will investigate allegations that the LDS Church failed to report nonmonetary contributions to the Yes on Proposition 8 campaign.
if the FPPC determines fault, the commission could fine "up to $5,000 per violation," and in some cases might also file a civil lawsuit, which could lead to remedies amounting to "three times the amount of unreported or misreported contributions."
http://www.sltrib.com/News/ci_11064769
Clarification: The market question has been edited from against to for
if the FPPC determines fault, the commission could fine "up to $5,000 per violation," and in some cases might also file a civil lawsuit, which could lead to remedies amounting to "three times the amount of unreported or misreported contributions."
http://www.sltrib.com/News/ci_11064769
Clarification: The market question has been edited from against to for
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. This question will settle as 'yes' if a fine is imposed or a court case filed before March 1, 2009.
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$7,786
Question suspends in 7 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Changed Question text Sun 7th Dec 2008 10:21am PST by 
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
ryanj: show details ... the music for their campaign againstfor California's Prop 8 before
Changed Description Sun 7th Dec 2008 10:21am PST by ryanj: show details
ryanj: show details ... .sltrib.com/News/ci_11064769</a> <br/> <b>Clarification: The market question has been edited from against to for</b>
Suspend date: Sat 28th Feb 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (65)
65 predictions
vidal1
predicted No (H$100 at 59%)
mrperfkt
predicted No (H$1,000 at 58%)
infobahn
predicted No (H$100 at 54%)
predicted Yes (H$100 at 46%)
conservatives_suck
lizzielizzie
predicted Yes (H$20 at 45%)
predicted No (H$50 at 55%)
horsefeathers
predicted Yes (H$20 at 45%)
predicted Yes (H$50 at 45%)
hoosierdaddy
predicted Yes (H$5 at 45%)
predicted No (H$100 at 54%)
hippyboomer
predicted No (H$50 at 54%)
capecodviking
pita_soupComments (0)
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score: 10
USA Today 1 week ago
faith mattered to him personally but should not matter politically. FAITH & REASON: PHOTOS: After inflammatory sermons by Barack Obama's former pastor, Jeremiah Wright, flooded the news media, Obama severed his 20-year ties with Wright's Trinity United
score: 10
US News 1 week ago
the more stunning is that Focus has a very specific definition in mind for who qualifies as a Christian, as I discovered last year when I interviewed Focus founder James Dobson about Fred Thompson, who was a candidate for the Republican presidential
score: 10
score: 10
FindLaw 2 weeks ago
Proposition 8 Proponents to File Supplemental Briefing Challenging Attorney General's Argument that Prop 8 is InvalidPRNewswireSACRAMENTO ...
score: 10
Huffington Post 2 weeks ago
Jerry Brown, California Attorney General, has given Proposition 8 opponents an early Christmas present. He's asked the state Supreme Court to void...
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