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OPEC wants $75 oil...When will they get it?

Current forecast: No $75 oil before March 1, 2009 (79% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is No $75 oil before March 1, 2009 with a probability of 79% (unchanged in last 1 day)

"Nov. 30 (Bloomberg) -- OPEC deferred a decision on reducing production this year by two weeks to gauge the impact of earlier cuts, as it seeks to push oil prices back up to $75 a barrel."
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aJWUVURs.PKo&refer=home

So OPEC wants $75 oil...I guess we should be lucky they're not looking at $100 plus.

"Ali al-Naimi, the oil minister of Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s largest exporter and its de facto leader, said yesterday that $75 a barrel represents a “fair price” needed to support investment in new fields."

And perhaps, realistically, $75 wouldn't be too bad...not with what we've seen the past few years.

SO...when will they get what they want? They always do!

Question will settle when oil first closes at $75.00 or higher on NYMEX.
Question suspends February 20, 2009.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

$75 oil by December 31, 2008
2%
$75 oil between 1/1/09 and 1/31/09
2%
$75 oil between 2/1/09 and 2/28/09
17%
No $75 oil before March 1, 2009
79%
Activity: H$72,194
Question suspends in 6 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 20th Feb 11:59pm PST (6 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (95)

95 predictions

7 hours ago
tuff_sledding predicted No $75 oil before March 1, 2009 (H$100 at 79%)
4 days ago
go2thesun predicted $75 oil between 2/1/09 and 2/28/09 (H$100 at 5%)
4 days ago
sweet_baby_rye predicted No $75 oil before March 1, 2009 (H$500 at 93%)
4 days ago
thepeoplegeekllc predicted No $75 oil before March 1, 2009 (H$3,500 at 90%)
1 week ago
destry[Admin] predicted No $75 oil before March 1, 2009 (H$10,000 at 90%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
The Saudi oil minister said there was a good logic for $75-a-barrel, backing earlier comments from Saudi King Abdullah who told Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Seyassah that this represents a fair price. Crude for January delivery traded at $54.43 a barrel in New York on Nov. 28.

OPEC abandoned an official price target almost four years ago and ministers expectations have changed throughout 2008 as crude rallied to a record $150 in New York in July, then fell below $50 this month. Ministers from Venezuela, Iraq, Algeria and Nigeria also said yesterday oil should cost at least $75.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aJWUVURs.PKo&refer=home
posted 5 weeks ago
odd that they all think that, it wasn't until the 90's that it ever went over 75 dollars to begin with. the OPEC nations are now reaping the rewards of their greed, they weakened the global economy with back breaking oil costs for years and forgot to save up during their time of plenty. Now they have helped create a recession and will be very lucky if oil doesnt stay under 50 bucks for years, I've even heard talk of gas going under a dollar a gallon!
posted 3 weeks ago

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