Created Sun 30th Nov 2008 7:25pm PST by
tonyg
All questions » Entertainment » Movies » 
Will "Guerrilla" surpass "The Motorcycle Diaries" box office opening week's UK box office sales?
Current forecast: 67% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 67% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Background on Guerrilla:
Guerrilla is a 2008 biopic about Marxist revolutionary Ernesto "Che" Guevara directed by Steven Soderbergh and starring Benicio del Toro as Che. The film covers Guevara's attempt to foment revolution in Boliva, leading to his eventual demise. The film comprises the second half of a two part examination of Guevara's revolutionary saga, with the first part The Argentine, relating the events of the Cuban Revolution.
Both films were screened together at the 2008 Cannes Film Festival, as one four hour motion picture entitled Che. UK Release date: Feb 20, 2009
Background on Motorcycle Diaries:
The Motorcycle Diaries (2004) is a biopic about the journey and written memoir of the 23-year-old Ernesto Guevara, who would years later become internationally known as the iconic Marxist revolutionary Che Guevara. The film recounts the 1952 journey, initially by motorcycle, across South America by Guevara and his friend Alberto Granado. As the adventure centered around youthful hedonism unfolds, Guevara discovers himself transformed by his observations of the life of the impoverished indigenous peasantry. The road presents Ernesto Guevara and Alberto Granado a genuine picture of the Latin American identity. Through the characters they encounter on the road, Guevara and Granado learn the injustices the impoverished face and are exposed to people they would have never encountered in their hometown. The trip serves to expose a Latin American identity as well as explore the identity of one of its most memorable revolutionaries.
NOTE: Motorcycle Diaries made £333,368 (UK) (29 August 2004) (80 Screens)
Guerrilla is a 2008 biopic about Marxist revolutionary Ernesto "Che" Guevara directed by Steven Soderbergh and starring Benicio del Toro as Che. The film covers Guevara's attempt to foment revolution in Boliva, leading to his eventual demise. The film comprises the second half of a two part examination of Guevara's revolutionary saga, with the first part The Argentine, relating the events of the Cuban Revolution.
Both films were screened together at the 2008 Cannes Film Festival, as one four hour motion picture entitled Che. UK Release date: Feb 20, 2009
Background on Motorcycle Diaries:
The Motorcycle Diaries (2004) is a biopic about the journey and written memoir of the 23-year-old Ernesto Guevara, who would years later become internationally known as the iconic Marxist revolutionary Che Guevara. The film recounts the 1952 journey, initially by motorcycle, across South America by Guevara and his friend Alberto Granado. As the adventure centered around youthful hedonism unfolds, Guevara discovers himself transformed by his observations of the life of the impoverished indigenous peasantry. The road presents Ernesto Guevara and Alberto Granado a genuine picture of the Latin American identity. Through the characters they encounter on the road, Guevara and Granado learn the injustices the impoverished face and are exposed to people they would have never encountered in their hometown. The trip serves to expose a Latin American identity as well as explore the identity of one of its most memorable revolutionaries.
NOTE: Motorcycle Diaries made £333,368 (UK) (29 August 2004) (80 Screens)
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$8,828
Question suspends in 5 weeks
Suspend date: Fri 13th Feb 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Sun 30th Nov 2008 7:25pm PST by
tonyg
Changed Description Fri 5th Dec 2008 10:27am PST by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
: show details
... Background on Guerrilla: <br/> Guerrilla is a 2008 biopic about Marxist revolutionary Ernesto "Che" Guevara directed by Steven Soderbergh and starring Benicio del Toro as Che. The film covers Guevara's attempt to foment revolution in Boliva, leading to his eventual demise. The film comprises the second half of a two part examination of Guevara's revolutionary saga, with the first part The Argentine, relating the events of the Cuban Revolution.<br/> Both films were screened together at the 2008 Cannes Film Festival, as one four hour motion picture entitled Che. UK Release date: Feb 20, 2009<br/> <br/> Background on Motorcycle Diaries:<br/> The Motorcycle Diaries (2004) is a biopic about the journey and written memoir of the 23-year-old Ernesto Guevara, who would years later become internationally known as the iconic Marxist revolutionary Che Guevara. The film recounts the 1952 journey, initially by motorcycle, across South America by Guevara and his friend Alberto Granado. As the adventure centered around youthful hedonism unfolds, Guevara discovers himself transformed by his observations of the life of the impoverished indigenous peasantry. The road presents Ernesto Guevara and Alberto Granado a genuine picture of the Latin American identity. Through the characters they encounter on the road, Guevara and Granado learn the injustices the impoverished face and are exposed to people they would have never encountered in their hometown. The trip serves to expose a Latin American identity as well as explore the identity of one of its most memorable revolutionaries.<br/> <br/> <b>NOTE: Motorcycle Diaries made £333,368 (UK) (29 August 2004) (80 Screens) </b>
Changed Description Fri 5th Dec 2008 10:28am PST by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
: show details
... /> <b>NOTE: Motorcycle Diaries made £Â£333,368 (UK) (29 August
Changed Description Fri 5th Dec 2008 10:29am PST by
jenniandboys![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)
: show details
... /> <b>NOTE: Motorcycle Diaries made 壣333,368 (UK) (29 August
Suspend date: Fri 13th Feb 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
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Predictions (17)
17 predictions
Comments (2)
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score: 10
Glasgow Herald 6 days ago
Star rating: *** Dir: Steven Soderbergh With: Benicio Del Toro, Demian Bichir As those not too bleary-eyed after Hogmanay will have guessed from the title of Steven Soderbergh's sprawling biopic, the director of Erin Brockovich and the
score: 10
The Times 6 days ago
Steven Soderbergh presented his ambitious, sprawling biopic of Che Guevara in Cannes earlier this year as a four-and-a-half-hour marathon. Subsequently it has been divided into two separate releases, a decision that makes it a less demanding viewing
score: 10
The Age 6 days ago
BEFORE the jungles of Bolivia swallowed him up, Che Guevara had enjoyed a run of success as a doctor, a revolutionary and as a student dormitory poster. 'Che lives!' we of the great unwashed cried in the 1960s, and
score: 10
Telegraph 6 days ago
mins Wh When Steven Soderbergh's biopic Che premiered in Cannes last summer, it did so in its full, unexpurgated four-hour version. The demands of the marketplace mean it debuts in Britain in two two-hour chunks, unofficially known
score: 10
Telegraph 6 days ago
As movie-making endeavours go, Steven Soderbergh's Che is up there with the boldest, and possibly most perverse, in recent memory. This $58 million production was made entirely without American financing, and its eschewal of Hollywood formulae is
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