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Will Chris Matthews run against Sen. Arlen Specter in the 2010 Pennsylvania Senate race?

Current forecast: 33% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 33% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Sen. Arlen Specter is the Senior Senator for the State of Pennsylvania and a member of the Republican Party. Sen. Specter has his Senate seat up for re-election in the mid-term season in 2010.

Chris Matthews is the host of the show "Hard Ball with Chris Matthews" on MSNBC and his contract reportedly expires in June 2009.

There is speculation that the MSNBC pundit will run against the Senator as a Democrat challenger to the seat which Specter has held since 1980. Matthews was previously a speech writer in the Carter Administration and an aide to former House Speaker Tip O'Neill. There has been suggestion that he has spoke with senior staffers of Obama's campaign about a possible run.


Settlement details: Settled if he officially announces he is running against the Senator as reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
33%
No
67%
Activity: H$6,439
Question suspends in 24 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 1st Jul 12:59am PDT (24 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Dec 2008 3:26am PST by genestealeruk

Suspend date: Wed 1st Jul 12:59am PDT (24 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

4 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$50 at 33%)
4 weeks ago
deanthoreau predicted Yes (H$50 at 33%)
5 weeks ago
thetexas predicted Yes (H$11 at 33%)
5 weeks ago
obammer predicted Yes (H$50 at 32%)
5 weeks ago
camicalm predicted No (H$100 at 68%)
more

Comments (2)

The interesting thought is...wil he win a Democratic Primary to do so? After all the love Chris oooooozed for the Maverick.. I really wonder if the Democrats in these parts will forget so quickly?
posted 5 weeks ago
For the settlement he merely has to officially run. It wont matter whether he comes out of the primary as the candidate.

However, I think he will. Problem will be if he runs and the GOP start running ads taking him out of context from his show.
posted 5 weeks ago

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