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F1 - Who will drive for Toro Rosso in 2009?

Current forecast: Sebastien Bourdais & Sebastien Buemi (62% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Sebastien Bourdais & Sebastien Buemi with a probability of 62% (unchanged in last 1 day)

Sebastien Bourdais, who raced for the team in 2008, will be joined by Red Bull tester Sebastian Buemi and former Jordan and Honda driver Takuma Sato.

The drivers will be evaluated over three days at Spain's Circuit de Catalunya, starting on Monday.

Both Toro Rosso seats are up for grabs after Sebastian Vettel joined Red Bull.

Frenchman Bourdais, a four-time winner of the US-based Champ Car series, is battling to convince the team he is worthy of a second season in F1 after an up and down debut year.

Buemi, from Switzerland, is a member of the Red Bull junior team while Japanese Sato is aiming to revive his career following the collapse of the Super Aguri team early in the 2008 season.

Brazilians Rubens Barrichello and Bruno Senna are also believed to be contenders for a Toro Rosso seat.

Veteran Barrichello is also in with a chance of staying at Honda next season alongside Jenson Button.

Senna, the nephew of the late three-time champion Ayrton Senna, is also in the frame at Honda - he is testing for the Anglo-Japanese team at Catalunya next week.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Sebastien Bourdais & Takuma Sato
15%
Sebastien Bourdais & Sebastien Buemi
62%
Sebastien Buemi & Rubens Barrichello
5%
Sebastien Buemi & Takuma Sato
5%
Sebastien Bourdais & Rubens Barrichello
5%
Rubens Barrichello & Takuma Sato
4%
Others not mentioned
4%
Activity: H$1,812
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Sebastien Bourdais & Takuma Sato: 21%, Sebastien Bourdais & Sebastien Buemi: 50%, Sebastien Buemi & Rubens Barrichello: 7%, Sebastien Buemi & Takuma Sato: 7%, Sebastien Bourdais & Rubens Barrichello: 5%, Rubens Barrichello & Takuma Sato: 5%, Others not mentioned: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Dec 2008 7:16am PST by guibraguim

Suspend date: Sun 1st Feb 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
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Predictions (15)

15 predictions

3 days ago
ntheo predicted Sebastien Bourdais & Rubens Barrichello (H$20 at 5%)
1 week ago
samlepirat predicted Sebastien Buemi & Takuma Sato (H$20 at 6%)
3 weeks ago
marcel98 predicted Sebastien Bourdais & Rubens Barrichello (H$50 at 5%)
4 weeks ago
aspidistra predicted Others not mentioned (H$20 at 5%)
5 weeks ago
capt_chaos predicted Sebastien Bourdais & Rubens Barrichello (H$50 at 5%)
more

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