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What will the Monetary Policy Committee/Bank of England do to interest rates in December?

Settled as Interest rate cut by 1-2 perc. pts

Bank of England announced it was cutting its rate by 1%, from 3% to 2%

"...the Bank of England slashed its own interest rates by 1 percentage point. That brings its key rate to 2 percent — the lowest since 1951 — as it, like the ECB, works to ward off a prolonged recession."
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28048061/

Background:

Dire figures from Britain's manufacturers today will put extra pressure on the Bank of England to make a big cut in interest rates this week.

British manufacturing is facing the toughest conditions for two decades as job losses accelerate, investment intentions collapse and domestic orders drop to their weakest level since 2001, the EEF industry organisation will warn today.

The EEF survey showed factory outputs plummeted in the last quarter and with orders, prices and margins all under growing pressure, the industry group is expecting redundancies of up to 90,000 next year.

The group is calling for the Bank to cut rates by a percentage point, after the Monetary Policy Committee's shock 1.5 point reduction last month. Every index tracked by the group's quarterly survey dropped through the floor in the three months since September.

Steve Radley, EEF chief economist, said: "We need to be pulling every lever we can, including fiscal stimulus, cutting interest rates and putting pressure on banks to improve lending to business."


Read the full The Independent article.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Interest rates rise
5%
Interest rates remain steady
3%
Interest rates cut by less than 1 perc. pt
35%
Interest rate cut by 1-2 perc. pts
54%
Interest rates cut by more than 2 perc. pts
3%
Activity: H$25,088
Settled as Interest rate cut by 1-2 perc. pts on Thu 4th Dec 2008 7:20am PST

Suspend date: Thu 4th Dec 2008 12:59am PST Settlement date: Thu 4th Dec 2008 7:20am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Dec 2008 12:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Interest rates rise: 2%, Interest rates remain steady: 20%, Interest rates cut by less than 1 perc. pt: 20%, Interest rate cut by 1-2 perc. pts: 50%, Interest rates cut by more than 2 perc. pts: 8%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Dec 2008 2:20pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Suspended Thu 4th Dec 2008 12:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 4th Dec 2008 4:23am PST by keyeshoveden[Power User]: Rate cut of 1%.
Settlement requested Thu 4th Dec 2008 4:48am PST by ewan1: it been decided 1%
Settled as 'Interest rate cut by 1-2 perc. pts' Thu 4th Dec 2008 7:20am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Bank of England announced it was cutting its rate by 1%, from 3% to 2%

"...the Bank of England slashed its own interest rates by 1 percentage point. That brings its key rate to 2 percent — the lowest since 1951 — as it, like the ECB, works to ward off a prolonged recession."
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28048061/

Suspend date: Thu 4th Dec 2008 12:59am PST Settlement date: Thu 4th Dec 2008 7:20am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Dec 2008 12:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (101)

101 predictions

4 weeks ago
rogi predicted Interest rate cut by 1-2 perc. pts (H$100 at 54%)
4 weeks ago
seventhsight predicted Interest rates cut by less than 1 perc. pt (H$236 at 34%)
4 weeks ago
racketdad predicted Interest rate cut by 1-2 perc. pts (H$20 at 55%)
4 weeks ago
easy predicted Interest rates cut by less than 1 perc. pt (H$50 at 33%)
4 weeks ago
curios predicted Interest rates remain steady (H$50 at 2%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
Info from the linked article:

Economists are divided over how big the MPC's cut will be on Thursday, with a slim majority in a Reuters poll expecting a half-point reduction and financial markets pricing in another one-point fall.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/pressure-grows-for-big-cut-in-interest-rates-1042762.html
posted 5 weeks ago
Sky News, Bloomberg, BBC News and CNBC are all reporting a 1% cut from 3% to 2%.
posted 4 weeks ago

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