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Will it be confirmed that one or more Mumbai gunmen were British residents?

Current forecast: 22% chance 8%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 22% likely to happen (down 8% in last 1 day)

Authorities are investigating reports that suspects involved in the Mumbai terrorist attacks in India were British or had ties to Britain.

A spokesman for the Foreign Office in London said the British had opened an investigation related to the attacks but cautioned that the reports had not been confirmed.

A report on Indian television quoted Vilasrao Deshmukh, chief minister of India's Maharashtra state, saying two British nationals had been among the gunmen arrested.

In addition, a German legislator of the European Union who was trapped overnight in one of the assaulted hotels told reporters in Brussels, Belgium, on Friday that she had heard reports that Britons were involved. It appeared that her sources were Indian journalists.

Prime Minister Gordon Brown and his foreign minister said Friday that it was too early to draw conclusions.

"I'm afraid I can't tell you anything about the names or origins or sources of this attack at this stage," Foreign Minister David Miliband said.

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/world/6139017.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. British 'residents' means have legally resided in Britain. Limited suspend date has been puposely set - if no news by suspend date, question will settle as 'no'.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
22%
No
78%
Activity: H$67,999
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Dec 2008 2:41pm PST by tisha[Admin]
Settlement requested Tue 9th Dec 2008 9:37pm PST by curios: this should answer for settlement ?
http://www.thewest.com.au/aapstory.aspx?StoryName=536407

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 11:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (110)

110 predictions

10 hours ago
lcsnor predicted No (H$250 at 78%)
11 hours ago
pintado predicted No (H$50 at 78%)
13 hours ago
mridul predicted No (H$6,000 at 74%)
14 hours ago
vidal1 predicted Yes (H$50 at 30%)
15 hours ago
anifersgirl predicted No (H$47 at 70%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 petefin
10/10 for the way you have presented this question Tisha. Inspirational.
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 tisha[Admin]
Thank you!
posted 5 weeks ago

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