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Will Andre Dawson be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame in 2009?

Current forecast: 26% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 26% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Andre Dawson, a former National League Rookie of the Year (1977) and MVP (1987), is on the ballot for the eighth time. He got close to the two-thirds mark last year with 358 votes (65.9 percent).
http://andredawson8.com/
http://web.baseballhalloffame.org/index.jsp

Will Dawson get the votes required for induction into the Hall of Fame in 2009?

The Baseball Writers' Association of America (BBWAA) votes annually for the National Baseball Hall of Fame, and 75% is required for induction.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source and/or

 
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Yes
26%
No
74%
Activity: H$5,228
Question suspends in 3 days

Suspend date: this Sunday 8:59pm PST (3 days to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Dec 2008 6:48pm PST by sdchargers[Power User]

Suspend date: this Sunday 8:59pm PST (3 days to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (5)

5 predictions

1 week ago
thomismydad[Power User] predicted No (H$3,000 at 73%)
2 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$20 at 71%)
5 weeks ago
hect0r predicted Yes (H$50 at 30%)

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