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Will Rickey Henderson be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame in 2009?

Current forecast: 91% chance 3%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 91% likely to happen (up 3% in last 1 day)

Rickey Henderson heads 10 first-time candidates on this year's Hall of Fame ballot.

Henderson, the all-time leader in runs (2,295) and stolen bases (1,406). He established himself as baseball's supreme leadoff hitter by banging out 3,055 hits in a 25-season career spanning four decades (1979-2003) that included four tours with the Oakland Athletics and stops with the New York Yankees, Toronto Blue Jays, San Diego Padres, Anaheim Angels, New York Mets, Seattle Mariners, Red Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers.

A career .279 hitter with a .401 on-base percentage and 297 home runs, Henderson won World Series rings with the 1989 A's and '93 Jays, was the AL MVP in 1990 and set the bar so high with the single-season stolen base record of 130 in 1982 that no player since has come within 20 bags of equaling it. His 81 home runs leading off games are the most in Major League history.
http://web.baseballhalloffame.org/index.jsp
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rickey_Henderson

Will Rickey Henderson be a first ballot Hall of Famer?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source and/or

 
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Yes
91%
No
9%
Activity: H$37,551
Question suspends in 3 days

Suspend date: this Sunday 8:59pm PST (3 days to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Mon 1st Dec 2008 7:27pm PST by sdchargers[Power User]

Suspend date: this Sunday 8:59pm PST (3 days to go)
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Predictions (103)

103 predictions

4 hours ago
rewing84 predicted Yes (H$100 at 91%)
9 hours ago
drock predicted Yes (H$1,320 at 91%)
6 days ago
aland predicted Yes (H$50 at 86%)

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