Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 4:09am PST by 
sqlman
All questions » Business » Other » sqlman 
Which automobile brands will GM sell or kill by January 31, 2009?
Current forecast: Neither Pontiac, Saturn, nor Saab (79% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Neither Pontiac, Saturn, nor Saab with a probability of 79% (unchanged in last 1 day)
General Motors--manufacturer of automobile brands such as Buick, Cadillac, and Chevrolet--is in a fight for its life. Many strategies for its survival are being considered, but one is the possible sale or cessation of one or more of its less-than-stellar lines. Its a safe bet that the bigger names--Cadillac, for example--will be around for a long while, but several media sources have been reporting that one or more of the following three are closest to the auction block or the chopping block: Pontiac, Saturn, and Saab. The question: which of these three will be sold or killed by GM by the end of January, 2009?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Pontiac only |
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Saturn only |
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Saab only |
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Pontiac and Saturn (but not Saab) |
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Pontiac and Saab (but not Saturn) |
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Saturn and Saab (but not Pontiac) |
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Neither Pontiac, Saturn, nor Saab |
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All three: Pontiac, Saturn, and Saab |
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Activity: H$13,428
Question suspends in 3 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 9:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Pontiac only: 10%, Saturn only: 15%, Saab only: 15%, Pontiac and Saturn (but not Saab): 12%, Pontiac and Saab (but not Saturn): 13%, Saturn and Saab (but not Pontiac): 15%, Neither Pontiac, Saturn, nor Saab: 5%, All three: Pontiac, Saturn, and Saab: 15%
Action history:
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Need an option for none of the above in order to assure settlement
Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 9:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (58)
58 predictions
aland
peterwindlehill
predicted Neither Pontiac, Saturn, nor Saab (H$50 at 77%)
dragon01
predicted All three: Pontiac, Saturn, and Saab (H$20 at 2%)
predicted Pontiac only (H$50 at 5%)
predicted Saturn only (H$20 at 2%)Comments (6)
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score: 10
Canada.com 21 hours ago
come for the automobile industry. I'm not going to pull a Popular Mechanics and talk of flying cars or otherworldly technologies. Instead, let me try to paint a realistic picture of what the current climate -- both environmental and financial -- will
score: 10
TMC Net 2 days ago
Marketwire Via Acquire Media NewsEdge) OSHAWA, ONTARIO, January 5 / MARKET WIRE/ -- For the 2008 calendar year, General Motors of Canada maintained its sales leadership position in Canada delivering 358,902 vehicles. Marc Comeau, GM of Canada's
score: 10
National Post 2 days ago
TODAY On the surface, much of General Motors' eight-brand North American line-up looks much as it has for most of the company's 100-year history. In particular, Chevrolet, Cadillac, Buick, GMC trucks and Pontiac were part of
score: 10
RTTNews.com 1 week ago
(RTTNews) - In a move to boost its vehicle sales, beleaguered auto giant General Motors Corp. (GM: News ), Tuesday announced that it will offer 0% annual percentage rate - APR financing on select models of cars and trucks. The move comes after the U
score: 10
RTTNews.com 1 week ago
In a move to boost its vehicle sales, beleaguered auto giant General Motors Corp. (GM: News ), Tuesday announced that it will offer 0% annual percentage rate - APR financing on select models of cars and trucks. The move comes after the U
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What other combinations are possible?
Guess I was looking for a nice, big NONE of these...was reacting to a flag by another user and didn't clearly see the option for neither...
apologies...good question, glad to get it back open
Thanks
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