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Will Canada's Coalition Government last more than six months?

Current forecast: 65% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 65% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

OTTAWA — Liberal Leader Stéphane Dion, together with New Democrat Leader Jack Layton and Bloc Québécois Leader Gilles Duceppe, today issued an open letter to all Canadians indicating their loss of confidence in the Conservative government to manage the current economic crisis.

“Since the recent federal election, it has become clear that the government headed by Prime Minister Stephen Harper has no plan, no competence and, no will to effectively address this crisis,” the letter states.

“Therefore, the majority of Parliament has lost confidence in Mr. Harper’s government, and is resolved to form a new government that will effectively, prudently, promptly and competently address these critical economic times.”

The leaders point out that the majority of Canadians voted for their parties in the last election - held less than two months ago - and request that the Governor General use her constitutional authority to call on Mr. Dion as Leader of the Official Opposition to form a new government that will be supported by all opposition parties.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
65%
No
35%
Activity: H$9,446
Question suspends in 4 weeks
 

Predictions (13)

13 predictions

1 week ago
merriamdaniel predicted No (H$100 at 34%)
4 weeks ago
joshgun12 predicted No (H$50 at 34%)
4 weeks ago
zollernberg predicted No (H$300 at 34%)
4 weeks ago
jakethesnake predicted No (H$100 at 33%)
4 weeks ago
canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$3,500 at 64%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 shans990
It should be clarified that the coalition may not even come into power. If the current minority government is defeated in a non cofidence vote Governor General Michaelle Jean can opt to dissolve the current government and call an election.
posted 5 weeks ago
The question will be voided if there is no coalition government within a reasonable amount of time (around 2 months?)
posted 4 weeks ago
Well, Mr Harper just got a 7 week reprieve. Despite my previous comment, I'm going to leave the question open until early February, to see what happens when Parliament returns in late January. If it doesn't appear there will be a coalition government, I'll void it. If there is still likely to be one, then the suspend date will move forward to match the time frame in the question.
posted 4 weeks ago
we don't have a coalition government - this question should be voided
posted 2 weeks ago
it is stupid to keep this question open
posted 2 weeks ago

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