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Will Firefox achieve a 30% share within the first quarter of 2009?

Current forecast: 16% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 16% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Hot on the heels of it finally achieving a solid 20% share (http://www.tgdaily.com/html_tmp/content-view-40381-113.html) can the non-IE browser of choice quickly consolidate this, or will the impending release of IE8 put the brakes on it's expansion?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
16%
No
84%
Activity: H$21,340
Question suspends in 11 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 1st Apr 12:59am PDT (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 8:37am PST by davidheggie

Suspend date: Wed 1st Apr 12:59am PDT (11 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (49)

49 predictions

2 days ago
aikon predicted No (H$299 at 84%)
2 days ago
andrewpmk predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
3 days ago
iknowwhatismyname predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
3 days ago
ollieg predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
4 days ago
jank predicted No (H$2,000 at 83%)
more

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