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When Will Circuit City File For Chapter 7 Bankruptcy?

Current forecast: They do not file before March 31, 2009 (61% chance6%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is They do not file before March 31, 2009 with a probability of 61% (up 6% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Before Feb. 1, 2009
17%
After Feb 1, but before March 1, 2009
23%
They do not file before March 31, 2009
61%
Activity: H$18,977
Question suspends in 11 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 5:59am PDT (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Before Feb. 1, 2009: 45%, After Feb 1, but before March 1, 2009: 45%, They do not file before March 31, 2009: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 12:39pm PST by rootehound

Suspend date: Tue 31st Mar 5:59am PDT (11 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (53)

53 predictions

21 hours ago
aland predicted They do not file before March 31, 2009 (H$750 at 57%)
1 day ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted They do not file before March 31, 2009 (H$1,000 at 49%)
1 day ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted After Feb 1, but before March 1, 2009 (H$500 at 29%)
2 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted They do not file before March 31, 2009 (H$300 at 56%)
4 weeks ago
sqlman predicted They do not file before March 31, 2009 (H$50 at 39%)
more

Comments (2)

Cool question for the bettor, but they are a large company and have filed for a limited Chapter 11 Can't be anything less than June of 2009,
posted 5 weeks ago
Plus, about 2 weeks ago they received court approved funding under their chapter 11 status for 1.1 billion dollars.
posted 5 days ago

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