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Will Governor Palin be assasinated or be an attempt to assasinate her before 2010?

Background: Every politician receives threats. Every politician has enemies. It is no secret there are many people that do not like Gov Palin. Philadelphia Hockey fans can get pretty irate. There are also people who are in such amour of her that they may become a danger to her and therefore may attempt to harm her. Not every tiny little threat is reported but they are taken seriously. And everyone even Gov Palin has to take precautions. And an attempt can be nothing more than a publicity stunt by some wacko but an attempt nevertheless if the NY Times states assasination attempt and Palin as the subject.

Settlement details:Must be reported by the NY times; must be an actual assasination attempt or occurance and not a hunting accident or other deemed accidental/suicidal event.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
5%
No
95%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 10:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 3:49pm PST by deanthoreau
Settlement requested Mon 3rd Aug 6:30pm PST by excontender: Hey can't this be settled as she is no longer a governor? Now if she gets whacked she is just private citizen Sarah Palin. This would keep the streak alive of no sitting governor of Alaska has ever gotten whacked. Show me the money.

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 10:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (58)

6 weeks ago
linda415 predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
19 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$600 at 88%)
19 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted No (H$1,000 at 88%)
19 weeks ago
excontender predicted No (H$500 at 87%)
37 weeks ago
mikeo7b3 predicted No (H$20 at 87%)

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