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Will Greenland hold a referendum on full independence before 2020?

Current forecast: 51% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 51% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

In November 2008, Greenland voters approved increased independence from Denmark. 75.56 percent of votes cast supported the action. Greenland will now receive almost full control over their natural resources. It will also receive annual subsidies from Denmark.

According to Greenland Premier Hans Enoksen, these results will lead to a referendum on full independence.

Additional information:
http://uk.nanoq.gl/
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a06D_8AZhm1Y


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
51%
No
49%
Activity: H$929
Question suspends in 9 years

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2018 7:59am PST (9 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 4:44pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2018 7:59am PST (9 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (8)

8 predictions

3 weeks ago
joffi predicted Yes (H$129 at 51%)
3 weeks ago
hokis predicted Yes (H$50 at 51%)
5 weeks ago
jimbob666 predicted No (H$20 at 49%)
5 weeks ago
rpg1377 predicted Yes (H$352 at 51%)
5 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Yes (H$20 at 51%)
more

Comments (2)

If they get full independence will Denmark still send them money?....Is Greenland now in a similar position with Denmark like Puerto Rico is with the US?
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 jimbob666
...that is a long wait...
posted 5 weeks ago

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