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Which film will take the #1 spot this weekend?

Settled as Four Christmases

Second verse, pretty much the same as the first! Things should get more interesting from here on out though.http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

Background:

Punisher: War Zone is the only new one of the crop, but its expected to be 'punished' by the oldies this weekend. Four Christmases was a definite success Thanksgiving weekend -- the positive buzz may carry it over for another #1 weekend.

Baz's epic Australia vastly underperformed expectations last weekend, perhaps with the holiday over movie goers will catch it this weekend?

Other options for #1 include Bolt, Twilight, Quantum of Solace and Madagascar II.


Settlement details: As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/ after actuals are released around 5pm ET Monday night.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Four Christmases
69%
Australia
3%
Punisher: War Zone
3%
Other
25%
Activity: H$29,135
Settled as Four Christmases on Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:36pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:36pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Four Christmases: 35%, Australia: 15%, Punisher: War Zone: 25%, Other: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 4:55pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:31pm PST by australiavotes: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

Four Christmases
Settled as 'Four Christmases' Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:36pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Second verse, pretty much the same as the first! Things should get more interesting from here on out though.http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

Suspend date: Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:36pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (133)

133 predictions

4 weeks ago
crosiar predicted Four Christmases (H$100 at 69%)
4 weeks ago
wabash predicted Four Christmases (H$100 at 68%)
4 weeks ago
deanthoreau predicted Other (H$10 at 26%)
4 weeks ago
newsiebri predicted Four Christmases (H$100 at 67%)
4 weeks ago
trumper predicted Four Christmases (H$250 at 66%)
more

Comments (4)

I'm expecting 'Milk' to do better in it's expanded release on the 5th. It's a great film.
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 johnoday
surprised there isn't a mega wide release scheduled for this weekend.
also surprised that bond hasn't fared better.
posted 5 weeks ago
The first full weekend in December is always pretty slow at the box office, which is surprising given that it falls right in the heart of the big holiday movie season. What gives? Maybe it has something to do with post-Thanksgiving fatigue. Maybe people are too busy shopping and spending money elsewhere to hit the multiplex. The point is that this trend does not bode well for the main freshman flicks this weekend, Punisher: War Zone and the smaller releases Cadillac Records and Nobel Son. But it could spell fresh success for Bolt, which has been bubbling under the top spot for two weeks now. Here's how I see this quiet weekend at the box office panning out. http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2008/12/boprev-bolt.html?xid=rss-hollywoodinsider-Box%20Office%20Preview:%20'Bolt'%20to%20the%20top%3f
posted 4 weeks ago
Four Christmases takes top spot again

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/
posted 4 weeks ago

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