Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 4:55pm PST by

Which film will take the #1 spot this weekend?

Settled as Four Christmases

Second verse, pretty much the same as the first! Things should get more interesting from here on out though.http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

Background:

Background: Punisher: War Zone is the only new one of the crop, but its expected to be 'punished' by the oldies this weekend. Four Christmases was a definite success Thanksgiving weekend -- the positive buzz may carry it over for another #1 weekend.

Baz's epic Australia vastly underperformed expectations last weekend, perhaps with the holiday over movie goers will catch it this weekend?

Other options for #1 include Bolt, Twilight, Quantum of Solace and Madagascar II.

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/ after actuals are released around 5pm ET Monday night.

Forecast history %

Four Christmases

69%

Australia

Punisher: War Zone

Other

25%

Settled as Four Christmases on Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:36pm PST

Activity: H$29,135
Predictions: 133
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:36pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Four Christmases: 35%, Australia: 15%, Punisher: War Zone: 25%, Other: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Dec 2008 4:55pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Suspended Fri 5th Dec 2008 4:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:31pm PST by

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

Four Christmases

Settled as 'Four Christmases' Mon 8th Dec 2008 4:36pm PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Second verse, pretty much the same as the first! Things should get more interesting from here on out though.http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

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Predictions (133)

1 year ago

crosiar Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,334)

predicted Four Christmases (H$100 at 69%)

1 year ago

wabash Level 13, Psychic (H$97,939)

predicted Four Christmases (H$100 at 68%)

1 year ago

deanthoreau predicted Other (H$10 at 26%)

1 year ago

newsiebri Level 12, Guru (H$25,732)

predicted Four Christmases (H$100 at 67%)

1 year ago

trumper Level 7, Pro (H$3,001)

predicted Four Christmases (H$250 at 66%)

Comments (4)

conspiracy2riot Level 13, Psychic (H$95,029)

I'm expecting 'Milk' to do better in it's expanded release on the 5th. It's a great film.

posted 1 year ago

johnoday Level 11, Legend (H$21,716)

surprised there isn't a mega wide release scheduled for this weekend.
also surprised that bond hasn't fared better.

posted 1 year ago

jenniandboys [Admin]

The first full weekend in December is always pretty slow at the box office, which is surprising given that it falls right in the heart of the big holiday movie season. What gives? Maybe it has something to do with post-Thanksgiving fatigue. Maybe people are too busy shopping and spending money elsewhere to hit the multiplex. The point is that this trend does not bode well for the main freshman flicks this weekend, Punisher: War Zone and the smaller releases Cadillac Records and Nobel Son. But it could spell fresh success for Bolt, which has been bubbling under the top spot for two weeks now. Here's how I see this quiet weekend at the box office panning out. http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2008/12/boprev-bolt.html?xid=rss-hollywoodinsider-Box%20Office%20Preview:%20'Bolt'%20to%20the%20top%3f

posted 1 year ago

australiavotes Level 6, Player (H$2,112)

Four Christmases takes top spot again

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

posted 1 year ago

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