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Will House of Commons Speaker Michael Martin step down before the end of 2008?

Settled as No

Michael Martin has not yet stepped down, and there is no mechanism for him to do so before the end of 2008 as parliament is in recess.

Background:

A explosive showdown between MPs and the Commons Speaker Michael Martin is expected later following a police raid on the offices of a Conservative MP. It was Mr Martin who gave Scotland Yard the go-ahead to search Damian Green's parliamentary office.

The decision could cost him his job with backbench Tories considering tabling a motion of no confidence in the Speaker. More on Yahoo News.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
5%
No
95%
Activity: H$24,089
Settled as No on Wed 31st Dec 2008 8:13am PST

Suspend date: Sun 28th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 8:13am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 28th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 3rd Dec 2008 5:54am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]
Suspended Sun 28th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Wed 31st Dec 2008 8:13am PST by tisha[Admin]: Michael Martin has not yet stepped down, and there is no mechanism for him to do so before the end of 2008 as parliament is in recess.

Suspend date: Sun 28th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST Settlement date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 8:13am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 28th Dec 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (58)

58 predictions

1 week ago
andrewpmk predicted No (H$100 at 95%)
1 week ago
jamest predicted No (H$1,000 at 95%)
1 week ago
unclechris predicted No (H$100 at 95%)
1 week ago
timr predicted No (H$50 at 95%)
1 week ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 93%)
more

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