Home Hubdub logo
 
Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

How many trees per person will we have in the year 2012?

Current forecast: 60-64 Trees Per Person (31% chance)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 60-64 Trees Per Person with a probability of 31% (unchanged in last 1 day)

NASA satellites made possible for Nalini Nadkarni at Evergreen State College in Washington to estimate the number of trees on planet earth. Because they reflect sunshine in particular patterns, it’s possible for biologists to determine coverage and look at numbers. The result? Approximately 400,246,300,201 trees in the world.

But what does that mean? Well, using the latest estimates for our human population, Nadkarni calculated we ‘have‘ roughly 61 trees each. Is that adequate? Hard to say. How many trees do we each ‘use‘ in our lifetime? Just consider your dependence on paper, construction materials, firewood, toothpicks, and so on.

http://talkingscience.org/blogs/2008/11/61-trees/

How many trees per person will we have in the year 2012?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Less than 50 Trees Per Person
10%
50-54 Trees Per Person
11%
55-59 Trees Per Person
20%
60-64 Trees Per Person
31%
65-69 Trees Per Person
12%
69-73 Trees Per Person
6%
More than 73 Trees Per Person
9%
Activity: H$2,809
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Fri 30th Dec 2011 11pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Less than 50 Trees Per Person: 8%, 50-54 Trees Per Person: 11%, 55-59 Trees Per Person: 21%, 60-64 Trees Per Person: 34%, 65-69 Trees Per Person: 13%, 69-73 Trees Per Person: 8%, More than 73 Trees Per Person: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 3rd Dec 2008 10:15am PST by growthy

Suspend date: Fri 30th Dec 2011 11pm PST (2 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (36)

36 predictions

4 weeks ago
petefin predicted 60-64 Trees Per Person (H$20 at 38%)
4 weeks ago
zempants predicted 65-69 Trees Per Person (H$50 at 10%)
4 weeks ago
emmag predicted 55-59 Trees Per Person (H$20 at 19%)
4 weeks ago
freeze predicted 65-69 Trees Per Person (H$20 at 10%)
4 weeks ago
freeze predicted 55-59 Trees Per Person (H$20 at 19%)
more

Comments (3)

Great Q growthy! I love it, it's the kind of Q I like to pose, and don't let any haters tell you it's not "newsworthy" enough. :)
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 shadowfax
Great creative question, Thanks growthy!
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 firechild
So, the question is.... who will grow faster, the trees or the human population? Considering we destroy more of them than they do us, it seems pretty obvious =) Although who knows what might happen to the human population by 2012??
posted 4 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more