adammccormicks
What will be the national average price of regular unleaded gasoline on Sunday, December 14th?
Gas prices were well below $1.749 as released early Sunday morning.....
Background:
Prices shown on Sunday are based on the last credit card swipe at each station on Saturday
The AAA Fuel Gauge Web Site is the most current and most accurate source of gasoline prices available.
Settlement details:
Reported by fuelgaugereport.com as current regular national unleaded average at 11:59 pm Saturday night.
Settled
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$1.850 and above |
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1.825 - 1.849 |
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1.800 - 1.824 |
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1.775 - 1.799 |
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1.750 - 1.774 |
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1.749 and below |
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Suspend date: Sat 13th Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 15th Dec 2008 7:43am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 13th Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: $1.850 and above: 5%, 1.825 - 1.849: 15%, 1.800 - 1.824: 30%, 1.775 - 1.799: 30%, 1.750 - 1.774: 15%, 1.749 and below: 5%
Action history:
adammccormicks 
buckeyetom
: Regular gas was $1.660.
Winning bracket is $1.749 and below.
Source:
http://www.fuelgaugereport.com/
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Gas prices were well below $1.749 as released early Sunday morning.....
Suspend date: Sat 13th Dec 2008 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Mon 15th Dec 2008 7:43am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 13th Dec 2008 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (88)
88 predictions
phazra
predicted 1.750 - 1.774 (H$20 at 0%)
predicted 1.749 and below (H$20 at 99%)
cheesenips
predicted 1.749 and below (H$5,000 at 98%)
gtown
predicted 1.749 and below (H$20 at 91%)
ianochaye
predicted 1.749 and below (H$2,000 at 89%)
jonicaComments (4)
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adammccormicks
5 settled, 1 voided
You might want to wait a little longer when you post a question like this. That would give you a better feel for how the spread among the brackets should be laid out. In this this case, 1.749 and below will be achieved well before the 14th and well before your suspend date. I know this is the same range you used on your question regarding gas prices on the 7th, but I'm sure you now realize that 1.749 could be reached a week before your target date.
This is just a suggestion. Keep plugging away. I really enjoy following following the indexable questions. Thanks again and Merry X-Mas.
I'm just glad to have someone setting up these questions...thanks!!!
Do you see the way Bayoubear does his Dow questions? He waits to see where the close point is on the previous day and then makes that his mid-range on the next days question. Keep going dude and look for indexes in other fields. You are going to write some awesome questions! Thanks....Tom
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