Created Wed 3rd Dec 2008 3:12pm PST by 
matthelm
All questions » Business » Deals » matthelm When will RyanAir take over Aer Lingus?
Current forecast: RyanAir does not acquire Aer Lingus until June 09 (54% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is RyanAir does not acquire Aer Lingus until June 09 with a probability of 54% (unchanged in last 1 day)
RyanAir has offered Aer Lingus shareholders €1,40 per share, €748 million total. RyanAir already owns 29,8% of its Irish competitor. The Lingus board has rejected the initial offer, saying it undervalued the company. The position of the Irish gov't is as yet unclear, and of course the EU commission will have a few words to say about the merger.
Will RyanAir manage to acquire Aer Lingus by the end of the second quarter of 2009?
Will RyanAir manage to acquire Aer Lingus by the end of the second quarter of 2009?
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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RyanAir does not acquire Aer Lingus until June 09 |
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Activity: H$101
Question suspends in 24 weeks
Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 4:59pm PDT (24 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Until Feb 28th: 10%, Until April 30th: 15%, Until June 30th: 20%, RyanAir does not acquire Aer Lingus until June 09: 55%
Action history:
Created Wed 3rd Dec 2008 3:12pm PST by matthelm
matthelm
Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 4:59pm PDT (24 weeks to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (3)
3 predictions
chrisfmasse
predicted RyanAir does not acquire Aer Lingus until June 09 (H$1 at 54%)
hoernla
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted Until Feb 28th (H$50 at 10%)Comments (0)
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score: 10
Reuters 1 day ago
Extends offer until Feb. 13, minimal response so far * Remains confident it will succeed * Analyst sees Ryanair raising offer price * Ryanair traffic grows; Aer Lingus says outlook improves (Adds Aer Lingus outlook, Ryanair traffic, meeting with pilots)
score: 10
BBC 1 day ago
A previous Ryanair move was rejected on EU competition grounds Shareholders in Irish flag carrier Aer Lingus have shown little desire for a takeover by budget rival Ryanair, Last month Aer Lingus bosses
score: 10
Reuters UK 2 weeks ago
Quote, Profile, Research) opened a new base at London's Gatwick airport on Friday and rejected criticism from Ryanair (RYA.I: Quote, Profile, Research) about its business forecasts in an increasingly hostile takeover battle. Aer Lingus Chief Executive
score: 10
Forbes.com 2 weeks ago
DUBLIN, Dec 18 (Reuters) - Aer Lingus is not actively seeking any airline to mount a counterbid against Ryanair (nasdaq: RYAAY - news - people )'s hostile offer, it said on Thursday, and was unaware of an investor mentioned by media as a potential
score: 10
AFP via Yahoo! 3 weeks ago
AFP/File ? An Aer Lingus aircraft at Belfast International Airport. Ireland's low-cost airline Ryanair said ? Slideshow: Ryanair Related Quotes Symbol Price Change 8,564.53 -65.15 868.57 -11.16 1,508.34 -32.38 DUBLIN (AFP) ?
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