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How many matches will England win in the 2009 Six Nations?

Current forecast: 3 (29% chance3%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is 3 with a probability of 29% (up 3% in last 1 day)

After a bad start for the new look England team in the autumn internationals, how many matches will they win in the 2009 Six Nations?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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1
17%
2
27%
3
29%
4
19%
5
7%
Activity: H$4,298
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: 1: 40%, 2: 25%, 3: 20%, 4: 10%, 5: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 3rd Dec 2008 8:01pm PST by hseal43

Suspend date: Tue 20th Jan 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)
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Predictions (16)

16 predictions

2 days ago
ade_mcc predicted 2 (H$20 at 28%)
2 days ago
kenny_login predicted 4 (H$50 at 20%)
2 weeks ago
mcchaff predicted 3 (H$20 at 26%)
2 weeks ago
the_sp00n predicted 3 (H$20 at 26%)
3 weeks ago
hseal43 predicted 3 (H$50 at 26%)
more

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