
Will any airport in India experience a terrorist attack by end of 2008?
Although threats were made no attacks occurred
Background:>
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AS_INDIA_SHOOTING?SITE=MSJAD&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
MUMBAI, India (AP) -- Airports in India went on high alert Thursday following fresh attack warnings as officials said India suspects two senior leaders of a banned Pakistani militant group orchestrated the deadly Mumbai attacks.
The alert comes as Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari promised the visiting U.S. secretary of state his country would take "strong action" against any elements in his country involved in the siege.
The new alert that warned of possible airborne attacks focused on three major airports - New Delhi, Bangalore and Chennai - but security was stepped up across the country. No details about the threat were released.
"This is a warning which we have received. We are prepared as usual," India's air force chief, Fali Homi Major, told reporters Thursday...."
Note: to settle as Yes, a major news source must report any attack as being done by "terrorists" specifically. A successful attack or an attempted but thwarted (at the scene) attempt will be considered an attack. An attack on any airport in India, not just the three mentioned above, will count.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Most settlement details are noted above in Background. I will reiterate that a thwarted attempt will be considered an attack if it is attempted and thwarted at the target airport; if intelligence leads authorities to potential attackers elsewhere, where they are prevented from carrying out a planned attack, it will not count.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 3:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 3:54pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 3:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 1st Jan 3:54pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 31st Dec 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (59)
59 predictions
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