Created Fri 5th Dec 2008 9:57pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Team to win the 2009 NBA Championship?

Settled as LA Lakers

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/boxscore?gid=2009061419

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.nba.com/

Forecast history %

LA Lakers

90%

Boston Celtics

Cleveland Cavaliers

Houston Rockets

Detroit Pistons

New Orleans Hornets

Utah Jazz

Orlando Magic

10%

Portland Trailblazers

The Field (team not listed)

Settled as LA Lakers on Sun 14th Jun 6:49pm PST

Activity: H$445,803
Predictions: 2569
Comments: 21

Suspend date: Thu 11th Jun 5pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 14th Jun 6:49pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Jun 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: LA Lakers: 30%, Boston Celtics: 20%, Cleveland Cavaliers: 12%, Houston Rockets: 8%, Detroit Pistons: 8%, New Orleans Hornets: 8%, Utah Jazz: 3%, Orlando Magic: 3%, Portland Trailblazers: 3%, The Field (team not listed): 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 5th Dec 2008 9:57pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Thu 30th Apr 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Changed Suspend date Tue 12th May 8:47am PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: was: "2009-04-30 20:59:00"

Unsuspended Tue 12th May 8:47am PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

Changed Suspend date Thu 21st May 4:08am PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: was: "2009-05-22 20:59:00"

Suspended Thu 11th Jun 5pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'LA Lakers' Sun 14th Jun 6:49pm PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/boxscore?gid=2009061419

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Predictions (2569)

23 weeks ago

giodub Level 5, Predictor (H$1,702)

predicted LA Lakers (H$500 at 89%)

23 weeks ago

giodub Level 5, Predictor (H$1,702)

predicted LA Lakers (H$100 at 88%)

23 weeks ago

bds321 Level 15, Seer (H$307,579)

predicted Orlando Magic (H$500 at 17%)

23 weeks ago

pita_soup Level 13, Psychic (H$61,074)

predicted LA Lakers (H$2,000 at 87%)

23 weeks ago

candelario Level 9, Expert (H$9,904)

predicted LA Lakers (H$50 at 84%)

Comments (21)

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,090)

Although the NBA has a "Big Three" in LA, Boston, and Cleveland, "The Field" is pretty damn good too. It includes 3 of the past 4 champs (San Antonio and Miami), as well as the Finals losers Dallas.

The Field includes:

Atlanta (4th in the East)
Miami (6th in the East)

Denver (2nd in the West)
San Antonio (3rd in the West)
Dallas (5th in the West)
Phoenix (8th in the West)

posted 45 weeks ago

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,090)

Playoff race is solidified much more:

FIELD includes:
4. Atlanta
5. Miami
6. Philadelphia
7. Chicago

2. San Antonio
3. Denver
8. Dallas

Thats 7 of the 16 teams, though admittedly, only 3 are likely to even make the second round - SA, Denver, and Miami.

posted 34 weeks ago

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,090)

Field, 5-2 first round game one, and both losses against another "field."

Philly up 1-0 over Orlando
Atlanta up 1-0 over Miami (both are Field, however)
Chicago up 1-0 over Boston

Denver up 1-0 over NO
Dallas up 1-0 over SA (both are Field, however)

Conclusion: 2 locks into second round. DAL/SA winner and ATL/MIA winner. While CLE and LA are *CLEAR* favorites for the finals, the "Field" looks like it will be full of solid teams, and if there is an upset, this stock of teams looks to benefit.

posted 30 weeks ago

rassi

Ok i am confused. I have money on CLE that was wagered when they were at 37%. As of this writing, they show in the graphic at the top of the question as being at about 75%. Yet, the "value" for my wager is listed as 43%. Is this an error, or am I missing something???

posted 27 weeks ago

rassi

Oops....never mind. Someone must have just bet - now the top is showing 43% also. Never mind...

posted 27 weeks ago

wallysparks Level 16, Oracle (H$539,045)

why was this question all of a sudden unsuspended?

posted 27 weeks ago

sadam

i dont know but as soon as it was everyone bailed on the lakers....

posted 27 weeks ago

wallysparks Level 16, Oracle (H$539,045)

bad move on their part

posted 27 weeks ago

hubddubber Level 11, Legend (H$16,997)

Denver is looking hot. Lakers upset?

posted 27 weeks ago

mrperfkt [Admin]

@ wallysparks - we've unsuspended certain questions when it appeared that the options were still uncertain enough to have some predictability. Hubdub rules also discourage leaving questions suspended for long periods of time as long as the outcome is not obvious as well. Actually, the suspend time on the original question was good. However, there are enough options left to unsuspend it. Looks like things are just heating up!

posted 27 weeks ago

wallysparks Level 16, Oracle (H$539,045)

How was the original suspend date good, when there were more than twice as many teams still in it than there were when it was unsuspended? Is it because the Rockets tied the Lakers at 2-2? Or because Denver was runnng over Dallas? There's something I'm not getting, but I'm not too concerned about it.

posted 27 weeks ago

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$130,274)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601079&sid=abkXdHn8Fdo8&refer=home

posted 26 weeks ago

sdchargers [Power User]

I created the question so early I was unsure of playoff schedule. When I realized question was suspended I requested it be re-opened since there was still multiple options available, outcome still very much in doubt...
There are similar questions that run to final game in just about every other sports category like most soccer leagues, IPL, football, etc....this is not uncommon.

My appologies for suspending early, but that is what I do when unsure of exact date knowing question can be re-opened once specific schedule is in place.

posted 26 weeks ago

wabash Level 13, Psychic (H$84,513)

Best.Question.Ever.

posted 25 weeks ago

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,090)

I have the Magic at .09%. The team I have at the highest is 1000 on the Lakeshow at 6%. I make a shitload no matter who wins, lol.

This question is all win.

posted 25 weeks ago

theforce427 Level 12, Guru (H$26,082)

Wow. I put money on the Cavs when they were at 5%, but 22% now? That\'s a little much. Especially considering the fact that the Magic have a 3-1 lead and a home game left to play. The Cavs certainly don\'t have a better chance to win it all than the Magic.

posted 25 weeks ago

imantsdimants Level 14, Prophet (H$249,527)

Yeah, but the NBA and advertisers would sure like to see Kobe vs. LeBron!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

posted 25 weeks ago

robamichael Level 13, Psychic (H$82,502)

i really hope the cavs pull through to see kobe vs lebron

posted 24 weeks ago

blacksoapman Level 10, Genius (H$12,285)

Kobe is not getting a rings this year just like LeBron I don't care if President Obama selects Lakers to win NBA Finals

posted 24 weeks ago

eliminati Level 15, Seer (H$345,090)

Check that statement at the door Blacksoapman.

Lakers will win in 5 or 6. They have NO answer for Kobe and the front lines are equally talented as a whole.

posted 23 weeks ago

hubddubber Level 11, Legend (H$16,997)

Answer= shoot 63% from the field. Not to mention that the "O so great Kobe" folded in the 4th! Do you believe in MAGIC?

posted 23 weeks ago

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