Created Sat 6th Dec 2008 4:54pm PST by 
deanthoreau
deanthoreau 
Will Nobel Prize winner Luc Montagnier really see the eradication of the AIDS infection?
Background: Luc Montagnier (born August 18, 1932) is a French virologist and joint recipient with Françoise Barré-Sinoussi and Harald zur Hausen of the 2008 Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine.
Luc Montagnier is the Director of the World Foundation for AIDS Research and prevention.
"Our job, of course, is to find complementary treatment to eradicate the infection. I think it's not impossible to do it within a few years," Montagnier said.
"So I hope to see in my lifetime the eradication of, not the AIDS epidemic, but at least the infection," the 76-year-old said. "This could be achieved." Montagnier and Francoise Barre-Sinoussi, of the Institut Pasteur, shared half of the 2008 prize for discovering the virus that has killed 25 million people since the early 1980s.
Source information
http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews
With this information will Luc see an AIDS vaccine in his lifetime or settlement date whichever occurs first?
Luc Montagnier is the Director of the World Foundation for AIDS Research and prevention.
"Our job, of course, is to find complementary treatment to eradicate the infection. I think it's not impossible to do it within a few years," Montagnier said.
"So I hope to see in my lifetime the eradication of, not the AIDS epidemic, but at least the infection," the 76-year-old said. "This could be achieved." Montagnier and Francoise Barre-Sinoussi, of the Institut Pasteur, shared half of the 2008 prize for discovering the virus that has killed 25 million people since the early 1980s.
Source information
http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews
With this information will Luc see an AIDS vaccine in his lifetime or settlement date whichever occurs first?
Settlement details:As reported by Reuters; The vaccine must be marketable and be avaiable to the general population.
If a vaccine has not been found by settlement date and Luc is still breathing the answer will be considered a NO.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| ||||
| No |
|
Question suspends in 3 years
- Activity: H$11,595 |
- Predictions: 17 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Fri 6th Dec 2013 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%
Action history:
Created Sat 6th Dec 2008 4:54pm PST by deanthoreau
deanthoreau
Changed Description Sun 7th Dec 2008 5:52pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... Prize in Physiology or Medicine <. <br/> <br/> Luc Montagnier is the ... a few years," Montagnier said. <br/> <br/> "So I hope to ... said. "This could be achieved." <br/> ." Montagnier and Francoise Barre-Sinoussi, ... early 1980s. <br/> Source information; < <br/> <a href="<a href="</> <br/> <a href="http://www.reuters. ... idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews</a>"><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews<">http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews<</a>;/a>"><a href="<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews<">http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews<</a>;"><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews<">http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE4B51NQ20081206?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews<</a>;</a>;/a> <br/> <br/> /> <b>With this information will Luc ... settlement date whichever occurs first??</b>
Changed Settlement info Sun 7th Dec 2008 5:52pm PST by tisha: show details
tisha: show details ... avaiable to the general population. <br/> <br/> If a vaccine has
Suspend date: Fri 6th Dec 2013 11:59pm PST (3 years to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (17)
predicted No (H$20 at 81%)
predicted No (H$50 at 81%)
predicted Yes (H$100 at 18%)
predicted Yes (H$20 at 18%)Comments (0)
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