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Will Google launch its own Operating System (OS) before July 13, 2009?

Settled as No

Will not launch until late 2010

http://tech.yahoo.com/blogs/null/146051

Background:

Background: Background: An analytics site finds traffic from Google.com obfuscates the operating system being used.

Net Applications caused a bit of a stir this week with a report that showed Microsoft's operating system share had dipped below 90 percent. This played very well where anti-Microsoft sentiment was strongest, not surprisingly.

Net Applications uses software sensors at 40,000 Web sites around the world to measure traffic and come up with its stats. These stats include operating system, browser, IP address, domain host, language, screen resolution, and a referring search engine, according to Vince Vizzaccaro, executive vice president of marketing and strategic alliances for Net Applications.

However, Net Applications noticed something unusual with stats from Google.com, which would represent Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) employees, not the public at large that use its search engine. Two-thirds of the visitors from Google.com did not hide what operating system they were running, which Net Applications recorded in its survey.

One-third, however, were unrecognized even though Net Applications' sensors can detect all major operating systems including most flavors of Unix and Linux. Even Microsoft's new Windows 7, which is deployed internally at Microsoft headquarters, would show up by its identifier string. But the Google operating systems were specifically blocked.

http://www.internetnews.com/dev-news/article.php/3788821/Does+Google+Have+a+Secret+OS.htm

Editor's clarification: Just for clarification this question was created after Android was launched. For this question to be settled as a Yes the new OS would have to operate on PC devices rivaling Windows and Linux.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Thu 9th Jul 12am PST

Suspend date: Sun 12th Jul 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Jul 12am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 7th Dec 2008 5:39am PST by growthy
Suspended Wed 8th Jul 2:44am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Flagged by admin: Just announced.
Previous action withdrawn Wed 8th Jul 1:32pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: I clearly got this wrong
Settlement requested Wed 8th Jul 4:10pm PST by buckeyetom: settle as no. It will be late 2010 when CHROME is released.

http://tech.yahoo.com/blogs/null/146051
Settled as 'No' Thu 9th Jul 12am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: Will not launch until late 2010

http://tech.yahoo.com/blogs/null/146051

Suspend date: Sun 12th Jul 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 9th Jul 12am PST details

 

Predictions (354)

19 weeks ago
jakethesnake predicted No (H$10,000 at 92%)
19 weeks ago
foosboy predicted No (H$500 at 90%)
19 weeks ago
destry[Admin] predicted No (H$4,491 at 88%)
19 weeks ago
lesley[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 83%)
19 weeks ago
lesley[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 72%)

Comments (24)

This is really intriguing. The possibility of Google and Microsoft slugging it out for OS supremacy. Great stuff.
posted 49 weeks ago
Fantastic question. I just think the deadline is too soon given that Chrome is still in beta. Combined with this other question about Apple's OSX for PC, wow, maybe, who knows...
posted 49 weeks ago
  3 pacman
Google already use a version of Ubuntu in-house (Goobuntu), but they've gone on record several times saying they have no plans to release it.

What qualifies as a "Google OS" though? There's already gOS, which is again a version of Ubuntu, that uses Google web apps instead of a locally-installed office suite, etc. But in reality that's just a bunch of links on the desktop of Canonical's existing system. What would qualify as a "Google OS" for the purposes of settling this?
posted 49 weeks ago
  4 andrewpmk
Presumably an operating system officially released to the public by Google. Most likely a flavour of Linux.
posted 49 weeks ago
How exciting. I hope Google becomes a viable OS competitor.

"Don't be evil"
posted 49 weeks ago
  6 rogerkni
I hope this is true, but I think it will take much longer to get it into even Beta shape. (It's crazy that MS didn't try to compete with itself, to pre-empt the competitive space.) The question should be reworded to give several possible dates, like "in 2009?", "in 2010?", "Never?", etc.
posted 49 weeks ago
  7 zanoab
I hope Google makes a new OS. I can imagine how well using the tabs through-out the computer will speed things up. Everything opens up in tabs in new windows and you can put tabs running different apps in the same window. Who knows? Maybe Google will use every unique feature over the different OS's except take them into a completely level for stability, speed, and security. Only time can tell and I think if the new OS is open source, it is only a matter of time before other companies team up with Google in many more projects to change the world.

If you ask me, it is kind of ironic how a simple search engine can turn into such a creative company that wants to take the world into a new age. I bet if we went back in time 1 year and warned Microsoft of how much trouble Google will cause them, only few people will actually believe it and invest in Google.
posted 46 weeks ago
  8 frontalot
Would a google-branded version of Ubuntu count? That's the only OS they will be releasing.
posted 45 weeks ago
  9 andytom
Google already has an OS Android http://www.android.com/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Android_(operating_system)
posted 45 weeks ago
Just for clarification this question was created after Android was launched. For this question to be settled as a Yes the new OS would have to operate on PC devices rivaling Windows and Linux.
posted 39 weeks ago
  11 gotmick
June 2 (Bloomberg) -- Google Inc.’s free operating system that’s used in phones (Android) will begin running computers next quarter, entering a market dominated by Microsoft Corp.’s Windows and deepening the rivalry between the two software companies.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aaNxkUvBLWdM&refer=worldwide
posted 24 weeks ago
Google already has its own phone os "Android" and if they do launch a pc os it will be a Linux distro just like Android
posted 21 weeks ago
  14 harkon
Yes, and it shall launch in the second half of 2010...
posted 19 weeks ago
BBC reports that it had been announced. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/8139711.stm
posted 19 weeks ago
  16 chull
It's been announced, but it's still a NO settlement since it won't be launched prior to July 16 2009.
http://money.cnn.com/2009/07/08/technology/google_chrome/index.htm
posted 19 weeks ago
  17 nightwish
What the hell? What definition of "launched" is that?
posted 19 weeks ago
  18 daveg
Launch != Announce. A company can announce many things.. but to actually launch is something different
posted 19 weeks ago
  19 nico78
the OS is announced for the second half of 2010, "NO" is the correct answer. please correct.
posted 19 weeks ago
  20 ether
RUBBISH!

"Google says that it is working with several hardware manufacturers to deliver netbooks running Chrome OS in the second half of 2010."
- InformationWeek
http://www.informationweek.com/news/internet/google/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=218401012

"Launch" = available to customers!

Google hasn't launched the Chrome OS, they just announced it! I want my $$ back!
posted 19 weeks ago
"Editor's clarification: Just for clarification this question was created after Android was launched. For this question to be settled as a Yes the new OS would have to operate on PC devices rivaling Windows and Linux."

Is it operating on PC devices? Is it? The answer is NO, so according to this question, the settlement should be a big 'NO'.
As a follow up, from google's blog cited as the source for the YES settlement "Google Chrome OS will run on..." Will run, you see that? That means that it is not running, which means that it is not and cannot "operate on PC devices..."
posted 19 weeks ago
  22 chull
This should settle as NO. How is this settling yes when all other 'launch' questions settled when something became open to the public? None these question define launch as being announced, but when the thing became open to the public.

http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/When_will_Google_Health_launch_296/view
-Asking about a 'launch', settled as when it became open to public.

http://www.hubdub.com/e/Market/When_will_Hulu_launch_into_public_beta_3850/view
-Again settled 'launch' as when it actually happened, not announced.

http://www.hubdub.com/m10924/What_Will_Google_Launch_Next
-Settled when Chrome became Public, not when it was announced.

If the exact definition of launch is unclear in the Q, void the question. Or ask the creator what the intent was!
posted 19 weeks ago
  23 jbbdude
Yeah, this was an announcement, not a launch. The launch will take more than five days.
This needs to be reevaluated.
posted 19 weeks ago
  24 nico78
great, now 99% are voting "no"...there goes my revenue
posted 19 weeks ago

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