Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

When will the time be shifted next time?

Background: As 2008 turns to 2009 at the end of this month, an extra second will be added to every clock.

Until 1967 the second was defined using the motion of the earth. This is perhaps in accordance with our intuition. The earth rotates once on its axis every 24 hours, and there are 3,600 seconds in one hour.

That would be fine if the earth kept good time, but in fact it doesn't. The earth's rotation rate changes every day by thousands of nanoseconds, and this is due in a large part to wind. And the rotation of the earth is slowing down, due to the action of the tides.

Over the course of thousands of days, these changes in the rate of spin of the earth can result in the earth's rotation getting "out of sync" with the high-precision atomic clocks that we use.

To adjust these small variations in the earth's rotation "leap seconds" are added or subtracted. On 31 December this year, a second will be added.

When will the next shift in time happen?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/magazine/7759281.stm

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
2009/2010
12%
2010/2011
6%
2011/2012
12%
2012/2013
13%
2013/2014
16%
2014/2015
20%
2015/2016 or later...
21%
Question suspends in 5 years

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2014 1:59pm PST (5 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: 2009/2010: 1%, 2010/2011: 3%, 2011/2012: 7%, 2012/2013: 11%, 2013/2014: 17%, 2014/2015: 25%, 2015/2016 or later...: 36%

Action history:

Created Mon 8th Dec 2008 11:08am PST by kruijs[Power User]
Changed Suspend date Mon 8th Dec 2008 7:44pm PST by tisha[Admin]: was: "2015-12-31 13:59:00"

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2014 1:59pm PST (5 years to go) details

 

Predictions (113)

21 weeks ago
neopugg predicted 2009/2010 (H$20 at 6%)
28 weeks ago
pics4d predicted 2009/2010 (H$500 at 6%)
28 weeks ago
pics4d predicted 2010/2011 (H$500 at 6%)
35 weeks ago
aaronwinborn predicted 2014/2015 (H$50 at 22%)
35 weeks ago
matt42 predicted 2012/2013 (H$20 at 14%)

Comments (15)

  1 cici
Wow!
posted 49 weeks ago
  2 monsti88
very interesting question, yet a little long-term...
posted 49 weeks ago
  3 lanceo23
I predict that as technology gets better we will adjust the clock every year. The last time I recall reading about a leap second adjustment was 2 or 3 years ago.
posted 49 weeks ago
  4 tisha[Admin]
What are we all going to do with an extra second of life?
posted 49 weeks ago
  5 ewing2001
the real question is if hubdub is still around in 2016 to cash in on that ; i like more short-time questions ;
posted 49 weeks ago
  6 johnoday
question suspends in ... 7 years

lol yeh. i can wait a max of 4 months.
posted 49 weeks ago
  7 onedave[Power User]
The leap second normally occurs at 23:59:60 on December 31.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leap_second
posted 49 weeks ago
  8 dieseldog
tisha - thats one more second we can admire your beauty. :)
posted 49 weeks ago
  9 curios
SECOND 0r no second i throw mine out the window how dare the wake me up earlier.
stop your crawling diesel leave the delightful aussie lass be!!!!!
posted 49 weeks ago
  10 dieseldog
curios - i'm slowly wearing the "delightful aussie lass" down with my charm and wit. if you want invited to the wedding you could help me. :O)
posted 49 weeks ago
  11 curios
@diesel
only as best man and you know his function
posted 49 weeks ago
  12 bernardo
Well, like probably most of the people I'm gonna need that second trying to keep my balance and not stink too much..
posted 49 weeks ago
  13 hoernla
What if a leap second is set on June 30th? According to Wikipedia, this has happened several times, e.g. 1992,1993,1994,1997.
posted 48 weeks ago
  14 carchic123
Does it matter? According to the Aztec calendar, the earth ends in 12/21/2012... LOL
posted 47 weeks ago
Time is nature's way of stopping everything happening at once.
posted 46 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
20 Things You Probably Didn?t Know About Time

to lose about one second. 11 To keep this time in sync with Earth?s slowing rotation, a ?leap second? must be added every few years, most recently this past New Year?s Eve. 12 The world?s most accurate clock, at the National Institute of

score: 10
Seven things you need to know about time

on New Year's Eve, time stopped momentarily. Guardians of atomic clocks around the world added an extra 'leap second' to 2008 to keep time synched with the Earth's rotation - but do they really need to bother? Time really does pass more slowly when you

score: 10
E-TALES: Grizzly tales

texting has now been restricted. Oracle second-guessed Oracle?s CRS (Cluster Ready Services) failed to cope with the ?leap second? that was added to 2008 in order to correct for slight changes in the earth?s orbit. According to The Register,

score: 10
Oracle CRS upset by 'leap' second

Oracle database to be deployed on a group of servers or 'nodes,' providing fault tolerance and scalability. The 'leap second event' is causing CRS nodes to reboot, according to an Oracle document detailing the problem. Among the affected platforms are

score: 10
Why an Extra Second Was Added to 2008

bid adieu to 2008 must endure the tiniest of delays: This year will be one second longer. A 'leap second' will be tacked on to the world's timepieces as the year expires at 23 hours, 59 minutes and 59 seconds Coordinated Universal Time (UTC). Printer

Related Tags